{"id":7970,"date":"2023-04-29T10:26:34","date_gmt":"2023-04-29T07:26:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=7970"},"modified":"2023-05-01T08:43:51","modified_gmt":"2023-05-01T05:43:51","slug":"the-economist-dergisinden-secim-ongorusu-cok-cekismeli-gececek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/the-economist-dergisinden-secim-ongorusu-cok-cekismeli-gececek\/","title":{"rendered":"The Economist dergisinden se\u00e7im \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc: \u00c7ok \u00e7eki\u015fmeli ge\u00e7ecek"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(The Turkish Post) &#8211;<\/strong> \u0130ngiliz haber ve ekonomi dergisi The Economist\u2019in ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma, analiz ve raporlama yapan istihbarat birimi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan raporda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 14 May\u0131s\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ve bu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n i\u00e7 de d\u0131\u015f politikaya olas\u0131 etkileri irdelendi.<\/p>\n<p>Dergi Nisan ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 dokuz sayfal\u0131k raporunda Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imi ya k\u0131lpay\u0131 ya da sonuca itiraz ederek kazanaca\u011f\u0131; AK Parti\u2019ninse meclisteki \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funu kaybedece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 14 May\u0131s\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin, \u00fclkenin gittik\u00e7e otoriterle\u015fen yolda devam edip etmeyece\u011fini ya da rotas\u0131n\u0131 k\u00f6kl\u00fc bir \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015ftirip de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyece\u011fini belirleyece\u011fi yorumu yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n iktidarda kalmaya devam etmesi halinde, enflasyonun y\u00fcksek olmaya devam edece\u011fi; \u00fclkenin yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ekicili\u011finin k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 olmaya devam edece\u011fi; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Avrupa ve ABD\u2019den uzakla\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<p>Economist dergisi muhalefetin cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131 Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun \u015fu anda kamuoyu anketlerinde \u00f6nde oldu\u011funa; 20 y\u0131ll\u0131k iktidar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n yenilme riskinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa da dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\u201cSe\u00e7im \u00e7eki\u015fmeli ge\u00e7ecek\u201d<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Raporda se\u00e7imi muhalefetin kazanmas\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri beraberinde getirece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Muhalefetin kazanmas\u0131 halinde otokratik cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sistemini kald\u0131r\u0131p ekonomide geleneksel politikalara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin NATO gibi bat\u0131l\u0131 kurumlarla ili\u015fkilerini yeniden in\u015fa etmeyi ama\u00e7layaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten dergi raporunda, \u201cSand\u0131kta ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olsalar bile T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in yeni vizyonunu uygulamas\u0131 kolay olmayacak\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>The Economist se\u00e7imin \u00e7eki\u015fmeli ge\u00e7ece\u011fini, karars\u0131z se\u00e7men oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 13 civar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu yazd\u0131. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n uzun s\u00fcredir g\u00f6revde olmas\u0131n\u0131n getirdi\u011fi avantajlardan, kamu kaynaklar\u0131 ve kurumlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrolundan, medya ve se\u00e7im yetkilileri \u00fczerindeki etkisinden yararlanaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de se\u00e7imden sonra meclis \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funu kaybetse bile Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n y\u00f6netimini devam ettirmesinin elindeki g\u00fcc\u00fc korumas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de parlamenter sistem 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fi i\u00e7in, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n kabinesini olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in meclis onay\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duymayaca\u011f\u0131 ya da yasamadan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir denetleme ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmayaca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Sonucun d\u0131\u015f politikaya olas\u0131 etkileri<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan d\u00f6neminde Rusya ile derinle\u015fen ili\u015fkilerin, Rusya\u2019dan S-400 sisteminin al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n, \u0130sve\u00e7\u2019in NATO \u00fcyeli\u011finin bloke edilmesinin ve Yunanistan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131lan d\u00fc\u015fmanca s\u00f6ylemin geleneksel bat\u0131l\u0131 ortaklarla s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fmeye yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, \u201cSe\u00e7imi Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n kazanmas\u0131 bu e\u011filimlerin devam\u0131n\u0131 beraberinde getirecektir. D\u0131\u015f politikada baz\u0131 muhalefet partileri aras\u0131nda \u00f6nemli g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 olsa da Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131 daha Bat\u0131\u2019ya d\u00f6n\u00fck bir yakla\u015f\u0131mda olacak ve en az\u0131ndan AB-T\u00fcrkiye ili\u015fkilerini k\u0131smen yeniden konumlanacakt\u0131r. NATO \u00fcyeleri muhalefetin zaferini olumlu de\u011ferlendirecek; ancak K\u0131br\u0131s ve Yunanistan\u2019la ilgili geleneksel duru\u015flar, Rusya ve \u00c7in\u2019le dengeli ili\u015fkiler devam edecektir\u201d \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Muhalefet partileri aras\u0131nda Suriye ve K\u00fcrt sorunu konusundaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu konudaki tutumunun ABD ile ili\u015fkilerde muhtemelen rahats\u0131zl\u0131k yaratmaya devam edece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fi belirtildi; ancak yeni bir y\u00f6netimin AB ve ABD ile yap\u0131c\u0131 bir diyalogun in\u015fa edilmesine y\u00f6nelece\u011fi varsay\u0131larak, bunun \u201c\u00f6nemli bir de\u011fi\u015fim i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat penceresi\u201d olaca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(The Turkish Post) &#8211; \u0130ngiliz haber ve ekonomi dergisi The Economist\u2019in ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma, analiz ve raporlama yapan istihbarat birimi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan raporda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 14 May\u0131s\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ve bu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n i\u00e7 de d\u0131\u015f politikaya olas\u0131 etkileri irdelendi. Dergi Nisan ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 dokuz sayfal\u0131k raporunda Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imi ya k\u0131lpay\u0131 ya da sonuca [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7996,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"VOA News","source_url":"https:\/\/www.voaturkce.com\/a\/the-economist-turkiye-secimleri-ongoruleri\/7070900.html","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"63","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[63,1],"tags":[209,1762,2102,390,1422,2101],"class_list":["post-7970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-son-haberler","tag-14-mayis","tag-analiz","tag-ongoru","tag-secim","tag-slider-manset","tag-the-economist"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7970"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7970\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7996"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}