{"id":6826,"date":"2023-04-19T15:25:27","date_gmt":"2023-04-19T12:25:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=6826"},"modified":"2023-04-19T15:25:27","modified_gmt":"2023-04-19T12:25:27","slug":"dolarin-atesi-yukseliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/dolarin-atesi-yukseliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar\u0131n ate\u015fi y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(The Turkish Post) &#8211;<\/strong> H\u00fck\u00fcmetin yakla\u015f\u0131k dokuz ayd\u0131r s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kuru bask\u0131lama politikas\u0131 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenmesine yol a\u00e7arken serbest piyasa ile bankalar aras\u0131ndaki kur fark\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez boyuta geldi. Bankalar dolar\u0131 19,4 liradan satarken Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131&#8217;da fiyatlar 20,3&#8217;\u00fc ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re iki kur aras\u0131ndaki fark y\u00fczde 4,8&#8217;i buluyor. Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 ve bankalar aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2 kadar bir fark\u0131n makul olabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7eken iktisat\u00e7\u0131lara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5&#8217;in a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda bu durumun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi iyice imk\u00e2ns\u0131z hale gelecek.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Y\u0131l sonunda 25 liray\u0131 ge\u00e7ebilir<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131lar se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z kurlarda bir d\u00fczeltme beklerken piyasadaki fiyatlamalara g\u00f6re de dolar y\u0131l sonunda 25 liray\u0131 ge\u00e7ebilir. Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler ve Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131 (V\u0130OP) y\u0131l sonunda dolar kurunda y\u00fczde 34 art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Aral\u0131k 2023 i\u00e7in dolar vadeli fiyat\u0131 25 lira 96 kuru\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019li yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JP Morgan da se\u00e7im sonras\u0131nda ekonomide genel kabul g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f Ortodoks politikalara ba\u011fl\u0131 kal\u0131nmas\u0131 durumunda dolar\u0131n ilk etapta 24-25 liraya y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini, y\u0131l sonunda ise 26 liraya \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bankaya g\u00f6re Ortodoks politikalara ge\u00e7i\u015fin zay\u0131f olmas\u0131 halinde ise dolar\u0131n 30 liray\u0131 g\u00f6rmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan&#8217;\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz \u0131srar\u0131 nedeniyle ge\u00e7en y\u0131l T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 30 de\u011fer yitirdi. Son d\u00f6nemde ise h\u00fck\u00fcmet kur korumal\u0131 mevduat, ihracat\u00e7\u0131dan gelen d\u00f6viz geliri ve Katar, Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri gibi \u00fclkelerden gelen swaplarla (takas s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi) dolar kurunu belli bir seviyede tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Yakla\u015f\u0131k sekiz dokuz ayd\u0131r sabit kur politikas\u0131na benzer bir politika uygulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>De\u011fer kayb\u0131 enflasyonun alt\u0131nda<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>DW T\u00fcrk\u00e7e&#8217;ye konu\u015fan iktisat\u00e7\u0131 Prof. Dr. O\u011fuz Oyan, enflasyonun y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti\u011fi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ortalar\u0131ndan itibaren T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;nda bir a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenme durumunun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bir \u00fclkede enflasyon varsa paras\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferinin yabanc\u0131 paralar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda h\u0131zla a\u015f\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Oyan, &#8220;Mesela ge\u00e7en y\u0131l T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de enflasyon y\u00fczde 64,27 oldu. Almanya&#8217;da ise enflasyon y\u00fczde 7,9 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n Euro kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda paritesinin korunmas\u0131 i\u00e7in kabaca y\u00fczde 55 civar\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetmesi gerekir&#8221; diyor.<\/p>\n<p>Dolar\u0131n 31 Aral\u0131k 2021&#8217;den itibaren 13 lira oldu\u011funu, 2022 sonunda ise 18,70&#8217;e geldi\u011fini ifade eden Oyan, bu s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda kurun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 43 y\u00fckseldi\u011fini, TL&#8217;nin y\u00fczde 30 de\u011fer yitirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde y\u00fczde 64,27 oran\u0131nda enflasyon oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatan Oyan, arada ciddi bir fark oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekerek ekliyor:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda da TL&#8217;nin dolara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kayb\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,7 iken enflasyon 12,52. Yani de\u011ferlenme devam ediyor demektir bu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bir d\u00fczeltme olacakt\u0131r.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Kur be\u015fte bir oran\u0131nda artt\u0131<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>DW T\u00fcrk\u00e7e&#8217;ye konu\u015fan I\u015f\u0131k \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim G\u00f6revlisi Prof. Dr. Evren Bolg\u00fcn de ge\u00e7en y\u0131l 1 Eyl\u00fcl&#8217;den bu y\u0131l\u0131n mart sonuna dek y\u00fczde 25 oran\u0131nda bir enflasyon oldu\u011funu, bu d\u00f6nemde dolar kurundaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u00fczde 5&#8217;te kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor. Bolg\u00fcn, &#8220;Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu kadar az bir kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131, T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n \u00dcretici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi&#8217;ne (\u00dcFE) g\u00f6re daha fazla, T\u00fcketici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi&#8217;ne (T\u00dcFE) g\u00f6re daha az olmakla birlikte bir de\u011ferlenme i\u00e7erisinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor&#8221; diyor.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde kuru bask\u0131lamak i\u00e7in ihracat\u00e7\u0131dan gelen d\u00f6viz gelirleri, Kur Korumal\u0131 Mevduat kanal\u0131yla gelen d\u00f6vizler ve swaplar\u0131n kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen Bolg\u00fcn, buna ra\u011fmen Merkez Bankas\u0131 rezervlerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l getirilen d\u00fczenleme ile ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 d\u00f6vizin y\u00fczde 40&#8217;\u0131n\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;na satmak zorunda. T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n 2021&#8217;deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 durdurmak i\u00e7in devreye al\u0131nan Kur Korumal\u0131 Mevduat ise d\u00f6viz ya da alt\u0131n hesaplar\u0131n\u0131, kur \u00fczerinden T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 cinsinden mevduatlara yat\u0131ranlara kur fark\u0131 korumas\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Piyasada farkl\u0131 fiyatlar olu\u015ftu<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131lar bu gibi ad\u0131mlarla kuru sabit tutma politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir yans\u0131mas\u0131 olarak piyasada ikili kurun olu\u015ftu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bankalarda d\u00f6viz al\u0131\u015f ve sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 3 kadar bir fark oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen Bolg\u00fcn&#8217;e g\u00f6re bankalarla Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u00e7ok ciddi bir fiyat fark\u0131 var. Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n g\u00f6sterge niteli\u011findeki efektif sat\u0131\u015f kuru \u00fczerinden hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyat fark\u0131 daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulayan Bolg\u00fcn, bu fark\u0131n se\u00e7ime kadar daha da artabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bankalar\u0131n Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n talebiyle d\u00f6viz al\u0131\u015f ve sat\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki makas\u0131 a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, kuru belli bir seviyede tuttu\u011funu ifade eden O\u011fuz Oyan da &#8220;Bankalarla Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,8 kadar bir fark olu\u015ftu, y\u00fczde 5&#8217;e do\u011fru gidiyor. Bu \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek bir fark ve y\u00fczde 5&#8217;in a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda bu ikili fiyat yap\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez duruma gelir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bankalar kesiminde de kurlarda ciddi bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n beklenmesi ola\u011fan olur&#8221; diye konu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>S&amp;P&#8217;den bankalar i\u00e7in risk uyar\u0131s\u0131<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n bankalar \u00fczerinde ciddi bir bask\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011funu, bankalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervlerini Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyen Oyan &#8220;Bir mali kriz durumunda bankalar bu paralar\u0131 geri almakta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fck \u00e7ekebilirler&#8221; diyor.<\/p>\n<p>Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s (S&amp;P) 17 Nisan&#8217;da yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki bankalar i\u00e7in risk uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Raporda, T\u00fcrk bankalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun merkez bankas\u0131nda tutuluyor olmas\u0131 ya da hazine tahvillerine yat\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor olmas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek-stres senaryosunda s\u00f6z konusu varl\u0131klara eri\u015fimi k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Merkez Bankas\u0131 rezervleri eriyor<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Son bir bu\u00e7uk ayd\u0131r ise veriler Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n rezervlerinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bankan\u0131n net uluslararas\u0131 rezervleri 7 Nisan ile sona eren haftada 4,7 milyar dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 13,77 milyar dolara geriledi. \u00dc\u00e7 haftada rezervlerdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f 7 milyar dolara ula\u015f\u0131rken swap hari\u00e7 net rezervi -47 milyar dolara indi.<\/p>\n<p>Sistemden bir miktar d\u00f6viz \u00e7ekili\u015fi oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden Evren Bolg\u00fcn, bunun da zaten swap hari\u00e7 ekside olan d\u00f6viz rezervlerini se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde daha s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir noktaya getirdi\u011fini vurguluyor. Bolg\u00fcn, rezervlerdeki azalmay\u0131 g\u00f6ren Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n ge\u00e7en ay ilk olarak Kur Korumal\u0131 Mevduat&#8217;taki faiz tavan\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131 azalan d\u00f6viz rezervlerine kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fcn ak\u015fam da yeni ad\u0131mlar att\u0131. Buna g\u00f6re Merkez Bankas\u0131 bankalara d\u00f6vizde i\u015flem saati k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131 getirdi. Bankalar m\u00fc\u015fterileri i\u00e7in piyasadan saat 13.00&#8217;e kadar d\u00f6viz alabilecek. Al\u0131nan ikinci karar ise miktar k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik oldu. Ger\u00e7ek ve t\u00fczel ki\u015filere (t\u00fcm m\u00fc\u015fterilere) her bankan\u0131n satabilece\u011fi toplam d\u00f6viz miktar\u0131na g\u00fcnl\u00fck limit getirildi. Limitler her banka baz\u0131nda ayr\u0131 belirlendi.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>&#8220;Ciddi bir d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 var&#8221;<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>O\u011fuz Oyan&#8217;a g\u00f6re bu s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar\u0131n \u00fcst \u00fcste gelmesi T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de \u00e7ok ciddi bir d\u00f6viz s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve kurlar\u0131n se\u00e7imlere kadar idare edilmesinin bile giderek zorla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Kuru sabit tutma politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ithalat ucuzlarken ihracat daha pahal\u0131 hale geldi. Cari a\u00e7\u0131kta da u\u00e7urum b\u00fcy\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 46 milyar dolar d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 vermi\u015fken, a\u00e7\u0131k 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda 110 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ise 34,9 milyar dolarla 2013 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek \u00e7eyreklik d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi. Son a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re 12 ayl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k da \u015fubat ay\u0131nda 55,4 milyar dolar ile 10 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>AKP&#8217;den ihracat\u00e7\u0131lara yan\u0131t<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131lar uzun s\u00fcredir di\u011fer \u00fclkelere kar\u015f\u0131 rekabette geri kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek d\u00f6vizin serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131, kurlarda 24-25 lira seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kacak \u015fekilde bir d\u00fczeltme yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Farkl\u0131 ara\u00e7larla kuru sabit tutan AKP&#8217;den ise d\u00fcn ihracat\u00e7\u0131lara yan\u0131t geldi. Ekonomim gazetesine konu\u015fan AKP Genel Ba\u015fkanvekili Numan Kurtulmu\u015f, &#8220;Ekonomi sadece ihracat yapan dostlar\u0131m\u0131zdan ibaret de\u011fil&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 O\u011fuz Oyan, &#8220;Se\u00e7imleri kim kazan\u0131rsa kazans\u0131n, se\u00e7imden \u00f6nce bir d\u00f6viz krizi g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc vermeyelim tavr\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez&#8221; diyor.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7imleri bug\u00fcnk\u00fc iktidar dahi kazansa kuru art\u0131k sabit tutman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n m\u00fcdahale olanaklar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fckendi\u011fini vurgulayan Oyan, &#8220;Her durumda bir d\u00fczeltme gerekece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131n\u0131n talebi olan 24-25 seviyelerine ula\u015f\u0131labilir gibi de g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor&#8221; diye konu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7imleri Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131 kazan\u0131rsa yeni bir faiz politikas\u0131yla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n y\u00f6netiminde ciddi de\u011fi\u015fiklik yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Oyan, ekliyor:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kurun y\u00fckseli\u015fi bir miktar frenlenebilir. Ancak her iki siyasi olas\u0131l\u0131kta da kuru 22-23 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda tutmak \u00e7ok zor.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>AKP&#8217;nin se\u00e7im beyannamesi ve Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n ortak mutabakat metninde kurlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek direkt olarak hedeflenmezken enflasyonu kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak tek haneye indirme hedefi yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Piyasa y\u00fckseli\u015fi fiyatl\u0131yor<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Evren Bolg\u00fcn ise Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131&#8217;nda (V\u0130OP) ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyatlamalar\u0131n se\u00e7im sonras\u0131nda kurlar\u0131n ne olaca\u011f\u0131na dair bir fikir verdi\u011fini aktar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>V\u0130OP&#8217;ta mevcut fiyatlamalar may\u0131s sonu i\u00e7in 20,69 civar\u0131nda iken bu yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 6,5 bir art\u0131\u015f beklentisinin oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bolg\u00fcn, &#8220;Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 finansal koruma i\u00e7in V\u0130OP&#8217;ta may\u0131s sonuna dolar alacak olsan\u0131z \u00f6deyece\u011finiz fiyat 20 lira 69 kuru\u015f. Bu rakam haziran sonu i\u00e7in 21 lira 50 kuru\u015f ile yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 11 yukar\u0131da. Aral\u0131k sonu i\u00e7in ise 25 lira 96 liraya y\u00fckseliyor. Yani y\u0131l sonuna dek y\u00fczde 34 civar\u0131 bir kur art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 vadeli i\u015flem piyasas\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor&#8221; diyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu rakamlar\u0131n bir beklenti de\u011fil \u015fu anki mevcut piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 oldu\u011funu vurgulayan Bolg\u00fcn, se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak resme g\u00f6re fiyatlamalar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015febilece\u011fini ekliyor.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>&#8220;Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131 tansiyonu y\u00fckseltir&#8221;<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Bolg\u00fcn, Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n iktidar\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi durumunda mevcut politikalarda \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak iktidar\u0131n birtak\u0131m de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yapmak zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;D\u00f6viz kuru sistemiyle ilgili de\u011fi\u015fiklikler olabilir. Yani bu \u015fekilde sabitimsi bir kur politikas\u0131n\u0131 negatif reel faiz verir \u015fekilde uzun s\u00fcre s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Ancak Bolg\u00fcn&#8217;e g\u00f6re bu yap\u0131lsa bile yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tansiyonun daha da y\u00fckselmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Bu da \u015fu an V\u0130OP&#8217;ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen kur fiyatlamalar\u0131n\u0131n daha da y\u00fckselece\u011fi, dolar\u0131n y\u0131l sonunda 25,96 liran\u0131n daha da \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bolg\u00fcn, Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n iktidara gelmesi durumunda ise faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar kademeli bir \u015fekilde art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunun da kurdaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. Buna ra\u011fmen mevcut enflasyon d\u00f6viz kuru fark\u0131 nedeniyle se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 haftalarda Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131&#8217;ndaki (V\u0130OP) fiyatlamalar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden Bolg\u00fcn, &#8220;Haziran ay\u0131nda 21,5&#8217;e, temmuzda 22 liran\u0131n biraz \u00fcst\u00fcne do\u011fru giden, a\u011fustosta 23 lira civar\u0131nda olan dolar\/TL kurunu g\u00f6rmemizi ben beklerim&#8221; diyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(The Turkish Post) &#8211; H\u00fck\u00fcmetin yakla\u015f\u0131k dokuz ayd\u0131r s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kuru bask\u0131lama politikas\u0131 T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenmesine yol a\u00e7arken serbest piyasa ile bankalar aras\u0131ndaki kur fark\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez boyuta geldi. Bankalar dolar\u0131 19,4 liradan satarken Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131&#8217;da fiyatlar 20,3&#8217;\u00fc ge\u00e7ti. Buna g\u00f6re iki kur aras\u0131ndaki fark y\u00fczde 4,8&#8217;i buluyor. Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 ve bankalar aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 2 kadar bir fark\u0131n [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6828,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"DW T\u00fcrk\u00e7e","source_url":"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/tr\/dolar%C4%B1n-ate%C5%9Fi-y%C3%BCkseliyor\/a-65370096","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[305,245,390,1523,315],"class_list":["post-6826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-dolar","tag-doviz","tag-secim","tag-turk-lirasi","tag-ust-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6828"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}