{"id":61740,"date":"2024-02-07T13:11:09","date_gmt":"2024-02-07T10:11:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=61740"},"modified":"2024-02-07T13:11:09","modified_gmt":"2024-02-07T10:11:09","slug":"kandilliden-marmara-uyarisi-sismik-bosluk-var-biliyoruz-ki-deprem-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/kandilliden-marmara-uyarisi-sismik-bosluk-var-biliyoruz-ki-deprem-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Kandilli’den Marmara uyar\u0131s\u0131: Sismik bo\u015fluk var, biliyoruz ki deprem olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 <\/strong>6 \u015eubat Mara\u015f depremlerinin y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i \u00dcniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi ve Deprem Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’nde de\u011ferlendirme toplant\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenlendi.<\/p>\n

Bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan Kandilli Rasathanesi M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener, “Marmara Denizi i\u00e7erisinde bir sismik bo\u015fluk var. Bu sismik bo\u015flukta yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 130 kilometrelik bir mesafeden bahsediyoruz. Bir g\u00fcn k\u0131r\u0131lacak \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc oraya enerji dolmaya devam ediyor” dedi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zener “Bu co\u011frafyada 7’nin \u00fczerinde bir deprem ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131k. Bununla ilgili binlerce bilimsel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar ve farkl\u0131 verilere dayanarak, farkl\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar elde edilebiliyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kimi hocam\u0131za g\u00f6re bu deprem \u00e7ok yak\u0131n belki 1-2 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde olacak, kimine g\u00f6re 30 y\u0131l daha olmayabilir, kimine g\u00f6re de 50 y\u0131l olmayabilir. Ama \u015funu biliyoruz ki burada bir deprem olacak, biz daha \u00e7ok, ne zaman olaca\u011f\u0131na de\u011fil biz ne kadar haz\u0131r\u0131z ona bakmam\u0131z laz\u0131m” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

‘123 YILDA OLAN DEPREM SAYISINI 6 \u015eUBAT DEPREMLER\u0130NDEN SONRA KAYDETT\u0130K’<\/strong><\/p>\n

DHA’n\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener, “1900 y\u0131l\u0131ndan 6 \u015eubat depremlerinden bir g\u00fcn \u00f6ncesine kadar olan 4’ten b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem say\u0131s\u0131 672. Yine bu b\u00f6lgede 1900 y\u0131l\u0131ndan 6 \u015eubat tarihine kadar olan deprem toplam say\u0131s\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z zaman bu rakamda yakla\u015f\u0131k 40 bin civar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz. 6 \u015eubat depremlerinden bug\u00fcne kadar ge\u00e7en s\u00fcrede sadece bu b\u00f6lgede 670 tane deprem meydana geldi. Yani 123 y\u0131lda olan deprem say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 6 \u015eubat depremlerinden sonra kaydettik. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir afetle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fumuzu g\u00f6r\u00fcyorsunuz” dedi.<\/p>\n

‘G\u00dcNL\u00dcK 50 C\u0130VARINDA DEPREM OLUYOR’<\/strong><\/p>\n

Deprem b\u00f6lgesinde sismik aktivitelerin bir s\u00fcre daha devam edebilece\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen Haluk \u00d6zener, “B\u00f6lgede 6 \u015eubattan itibaren haftal\u0131k 4 bin deprem; art\u00e7\u0131 deprem say\u0131s\u0131 bug\u00fcn geldi\u011fimiz noktada 300-350 civar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Yani g\u00fcnl\u00fck 50 civar\u0131nda depremimiz var. Bu depremler bir s\u00fcre daha devam edecek. 48 tane 5 ile 5.9 aras\u0131nda, 3 tanede 6 ile 6.9 aras\u0131nda art\u00e7\u0131 \u015fokumuz, depremimiz var” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

‘HER FAY AYNI HIZDA ENERJ\u0130 B\u0130R\u0130KT\u0130RM\u0130YOR’<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye genelindeki fay hatt\u0131 ve deprem istatistikleri hakk\u0131nda bilgiler de veren Prof. Dr. \u00d6zener, “\u00dclkemizde MTA’n\u0131n diri fay haritas\u0131na g\u00f6re 500’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde, 5 bu\u00e7uk \u00fczeri deprem \u00fcretebilecek diri fay var. \u015eimdi, faylar deprem \u00fcretebilecek ama her fay ayn\u0131, her uzunluktaki fay ayn\u0131 s\u00fcrede mi deprem \u00fcretiyor. Yani bir fay\u0131n 7 bu\u00e7ukluk deprem \u00fcretece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek tek ba\u015f\u0131na do\u011fru ama tam bir bilgi de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkemizde yer kabu\u011fu, yer de\u011fi\u015ftirme h\u0131zlar\u0131 her yerde ayn\u0131 de\u011fil. Ege’de y\u0131ll\u0131k 3 bu\u00e7uk-4 santimlik h\u0131zlar varken, Anadolu plakas\u0131na, ortalama h\u0131z y\u0131ll\u0131k 2-2 bu\u00e7uk santim, Do\u011fu-G\u00fcneydo\u011fu’ya gitti\u011finiz zaman 5-7 milimetrelik y\u0131ll\u0131k h\u0131zlar veriyor. Her fay ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda enerji biriktirmiyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla deprem tekrarlama aral\u0131klar\u0131 da ayn\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Yani bir fay\u0131n 7 bu\u00e7uk b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir deprem \u00fcretebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek, o fay\u0131n uzunlu\u011funa bakarak do\u011fru olabilir. Ancak son depremden bu yana ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre art\u0131 o fay\u0131n ne h\u0131zl\u0131 enerji birikti\u011fini bilmek laz\u0131m. E\u011fer o fay 7 bu\u00e7ukluk deprem \u00fcretebilecek bir fay, 1500 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcre ihtiya\u00e7 varsa ve en son deprem bin y\u0131l \u00f6nce olduysa \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 500 y\u0131l asl\u0131nda bir s\u00fcre var o depremin, 7 bu\u00e7ukluk deprem \u00fcretmesi i\u00e7in. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu bilgileri bu \u015fekilde payla\u015fmak toplumda do\u011fru y\u00f6nlendirme anlam\u0131na gelir” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

‘MARMARA DEN\u0130Z\u0130 \u0130\u00c7ER\u0130S\u0130NDE B\u0130R S\u0130SM\u0130K BO\u015eLUK VAR’<\/strong><\/p>\n

Marmara depremi hakk\u0131nda sorular\u0131 yan\u0131tlayan Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener, “Kuzey Anadolu fay\u0131, Erzincan’da 1939’da k\u0131r\u0131lmaya ba\u015flayarak depremler bat\u0131ya do\u011fru g\u00f6\u00e7 ediyor. En son 17 A\u011fustos ve 12 Kas\u0131m 1999 depremleri var ve bunlar da Hersek deltas\u0131na kadar k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilim insanlar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

‘7’N\u0130N \u00dcZER\u0130NDE B\u0130R DEPREM YA\u015eAYACA\u011eIMIZ A\u00c7IK’<\/strong><\/p>\n

Marmara Denizi i\u00e7erisinde bir sismik bo\u015fluk var. Bu sismik bo\u015flukta yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 130 kilometrelik bir mesafeden bahsediyoruz. Bir g\u00fcn k\u0131r\u0131lacak \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc oraya enerji dolmaya devam ediyor. Bu fay\u0131n tek par\u00e7ada m\u0131, 3 par\u00e7ada m\u0131, 2 par\u00e7ada m\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 tabii ki bir soru i\u015fareti ama bu co\u011frafyada 7’nin \u00fczerinde bir deprem ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131k.<\/p>\n

Bununla ilgili binlerce bilimsel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ve farkl\u0131 verilere dayanarak, farkl\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar elde edilebiliyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kimi hocam\u0131za g\u00f6re bu deprem \u00e7ok yak\u0131n belki 1-2 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde olacak, kimine g\u00f6re 30 y\u0131l daha olmayabilir, kimine g\u00f6re de 50 y\u0131l olmayabilir. Ama \u015funu biliyoruz ki burada bir deprem olacak. Biz daha \u00e7ok ne zaman olaca\u011f\u0131na de\u011fil, biz ne kadar haz\u0131r\u0131z ona bakmam\u0131z laz\u0131m. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da bunun \u00e7arelerini aramam\u0131z laz\u0131m” \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

‘S\u0130Z ZAMANI TARTI\u015eMAYIN’<\/strong><\/p>\n

Marmara Denizi’nde olan deprem periyotlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiren \u00d6zener, “Marmara’da 250 y\u0131ll\u0131k periyotlardan bahsediliyor. Art\u0131, eksi 25-30 y\u0131l farklar veren bilimsel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar var. Bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z zaman asl\u0131nda bu Marmara depremi \u00e7ok \u00e7ok uzakta de\u011fil. Yani \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde bir 100 y\u0131l daha yok. Belki 10 saniye sonra da bu depremle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabiliriz, belki 20 y\u0131l sonra olabilir. Bunu zamana ba\u011flaman\u0131n \u00e7ok do\u011fru oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. Bunu bilim insanlar\u0131 bizler tart\u0131\u015fal\u0131m ama vatanda\u015f, sizler l\u00fctfen bunu tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131n. Yar\u0131n deprem olacakm\u0131\u015f gibi psikolojinizi bozmay\u0131n ama olabildi\u011fince haz\u0131r olun” dedi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 6 \u015eubat Mara\u015f depremlerinin y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i \u00dcniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi ve Deprem Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’nde de\u011ferlendirme toplant\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenlendi. Bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan Kandilli Rasathanesi M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener, “Marmara Denizi i\u00e7erisinde bir sismik bo\u015fluk var. Bu sismik bo\u015flukta yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 130 kilometrelik bir mesafeden bahsediyoruz. Bir g\u00fcn k\u0131r\u0131lacak \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc oraya enerji dolmaya […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":61741,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"4","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[72,693,1776,1422],"class_list":["post-61740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-son-haberler","tag-deprem","tag-kandilli","tag-marmara","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61740","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61740"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61740\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61741"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61740"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61740"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61740"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}