{"id":61141,"date":"2024-02-05T16:16:08","date_gmt":"2024-02-05T13:16:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=61141"},"modified":"2024-02-05T16:16:08","modified_gmt":"2024-02-05T13:16:08","slug":"oecdden-turkiye-icin-buyume-ve-enflasyon-tahmini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/oecdden-turkiye-icin-buyume-ve-enflasyon-tahmini\/","title":{"rendered":"OECD’den T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve enflasyon tahmini"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) –<\/strong> Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD) 2023’te y\u00fczde 3,1 olan k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9’a gerileyece\u011fini ve 2025’te yeniden y\u00fczde 3’e y\u00fckselece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

OECD, ‘B\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in Temelleri G\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek’ temas\u0131yla haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Ara D\u00f6nem Raporu’nu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. B\u00fcy\u00fcme, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek de dahil olmak \u00fczere y\u0131l boyunca \u00f6zellikle ABD’de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rken, di\u011fer bir\u00e7ok geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkede enerji krizinin de etkilerini yans\u0131tan \u015fekilde daha zay\u0131f oldu.<\/p>\n

EKONOM\u0130K B\u00dcY\u00dcME<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ge\u00e7en y\u0131l G20 \u00fclkelerinde y\u00fczde 3,3, ABD’de y\u00fczde 2,5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nde b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 0,5 olurken Avrupa’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisi Almanya’da y\u00fczde 0,1 daralma g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u0130ngiltere’de 2023’te y\u00fczde 0,3, Fransa’da y\u00fczde 0,9, \u00c7in’de y\u00fczde 5,2, Hindistan’da y\u00fczde 6,7 ve T\u00fcrkiye’de y\u00fczde 4,1 oldu.<\/p>\n

Brezilya ekonomisi y\u00fczde 3,1, Japonya ekonomisi y\u00fczde 1,9 ve Rusya ekonomisi y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterdi, Suudi Arabistan ekonomisi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,9 darald\u0131.<\/p>\n

K\u00dcRESEL B\u00dcY\u00dcME TAHM\u0130N\u0130 REV\u0130ZE ED\u0130LD\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l ise y\u00fczde 2,9 olaca\u011f\u0131, 2025’te finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131n da iyile\u015fmesiyle y\u00fczde 3’e y\u00fckselece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri OECD’nin ge\u00e7en kas\u0131mda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporuyla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 2,7’den y\u00fczde 2,9’a y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. OECD’nin 2025’e y\u00f6nelik k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de\u011fi\u015fmedi.<\/p>\n

ABD’de ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan desteklenmeye devam edece\u011fi ancak bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,1’e ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 1,7’ye d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in 0,3 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilip 2025 i\u00e7in de\u011fi\u015ftirilmezken, s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 0,6 ve y\u00fczde 1,3 d\u00fczeyinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in ekonomisinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck talep, y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 ve zay\u0131f emlak piyasas\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,7 ve 2025’te y\u00fczde 4,2’ye gerilemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde ise b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9 olmas\u0131 beklenirken, 2025’te y\u00fczde 3,1 olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. OECD, kas\u0131mdaki tahminlerine g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi, 2025 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 0,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek y\u00fczde 3,1’e revize etti.<\/p>\n

ENFLASYONDA GELECEK BEL\u0130RS\u0130Z<\/strong><\/p>\n

Enerji ve g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerileme ve s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak enflasyon, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan rapora g\u00f6re, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun \u00e7o\u011fu \u00fclkede hala hedefin \u00fczerinde seyretmesi ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n orta vadeli enflasyon hedefleriyle uyumlu olan seviyeden y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, 2021’de ba\u015flayan enflasyonist s\u00fcrecin 2025’te sona erece\u011finden emin olmak i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz erken.<\/p>\n

Orta Do\u011fu ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere jeopolitik gerilimlerin enflasyonda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturma riski bulunurken, b\u00f6lgede \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n geni\u015flemesi veya t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beklenenden daha kapsaml\u0131 \u015fekilde kesintiye u\u011fratabilir ve arz darbo\u011fazlar\u0131 yo\u011funla\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n

Orta Do\u011fu’dan Asya, Avrupa ve Amerika’ya petrol ve gaz tedarikinde kilit rotalardaki trafi\u011fin kesintiye u\u011framas\u0131 halinde enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye zarar vererek do\u011frudan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD) 2023’te y\u00fczde 3,1 olan k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9’a gerileyece\u011fini ve 2025’te yeniden y\u00fczde 3’e y\u00fckselece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. OECD, ‘B\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in Temelleri G\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek’ temas\u0131yla haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Ara D\u00f6nem Raporu’nu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. K\u00fcresel ekonomi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. B\u00fcy\u00fcme, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek de dahil olmak […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":61144,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"Art\u0131 Ger\u00e7ek ","source_url":"https:\/\/artigercek.com\/ekonomi\/oecdden-turkiye-icin-buyume-ve-enflasyon-tahmini-283024h","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[1555,1422,10152,14],"class_list":["post-61141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-oecd","tag-slider-manset","tag-tahmini","tag-turkiye"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61141"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61141\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61144"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}