{"id":56407,"date":"2024-01-19T11:18:41","date_gmt":"2024-01-19T08:18:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=56407"},"modified":"2024-01-19T11:18:41","modified_gmt":"2024-01-19T08:18:41","slug":"merkez-bankasi-enflasyon-ve-dolar-tahminini-acikladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/merkez-bankasi-enflasyon-ve-dolar-tahminini-acikladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Merkez Bankas\u0131, enflasyon ve dolar tahminini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) –<\/strong> Merkez Bankas\u0131, ocak ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Anket kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n tahmin ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re, politika faizi y\u0131l\u0131n ilk toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 250 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 42,5’ten y\u00fczde 45’e y\u00fckseltilecek.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 42,4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, piyasan\u0131n Dolar\/TL beklentisi 12 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in 40,64 olarak \u015fekillendi.<\/p>\n

ENFLASYON OLASILIKLARI<\/strong><\/p>\n

Merkez Bankas\u0131’ndan anketin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u015fu a\u00e7\u0131klama yap\u0131ld\u0131: “Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 42,04 olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 41,23 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 39,09 olmu\u015ftur. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 24,82 ve y\u00fczde 23,69 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 21,92 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 33,00-36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 44,47 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 37,00-40,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 24,15 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 41,00 – 44,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 15,25\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 33,00-36,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 47,46\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 37,00-40,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 30,51\u2019inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 41,00-44,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir.<\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 22,33 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 16,00-21,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 57,78 olas\u0131l\u0131kla y\u00fczde 22,00-27,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 8,72 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ise y\u00fczde 28,00-33,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re,24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 25,86\u2018s\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 16,00 – 21,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 50,00\u2018\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 22,00-27,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 13,79\u2018unun beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 28,00-33,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlenmektedir.<\/p>\n

YEN\u0130 FA\u0130Z ARTI\u015eI BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 42,47 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,00 olmu\u015ftur. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 42,50 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 45,00 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

DOLAR TAHM\u0130N\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bu anket d\u00f6neminde 40 TL olmu\u015ftur. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 39,46 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 40,64 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

B\u00dcY\u00dcME BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 Y\u00dcZDE 3,4<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GSYH 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,3 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. GSYH 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 3,9 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

2024 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak ay\u0131 Piyasa Kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Anketi, reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcilerinden olu\u015fan 68 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f ve sonu\u00e7lar kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131 toplula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak de\u011ferlendirilmi\u015ftir.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – Merkez Bankas\u0131, ocak ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Anket kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n tahmin ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re, politika faizi y\u0131l\u0131n ilk toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 250 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 42,5’ten y\u00fczde 45’e y\u00fckseltilecek. Y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 42,4 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, piyasan\u0131n Dolar\/TL beklentisi 12 ay sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in 40,64 olarak \u015fekillendi. ENFLASYON OLASILIKLARI Merkez Bankas\u0131’ndan anketin […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":50957,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"Art\u0131 Ger\u00e7ek ","source_url":"https:\/\/artigercek.com\/ekonomi\/merkez-bankasi-enflasyon-ve-dolar-tahminini-acikladi-281033h","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[7184,305,12856,1422,12857],"class_list":["post-56407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-acikladi","tag-dolar","tag-mb","tag-slider-manset","tag-tahminini"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56407\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50957"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}