{"id":55515,"date":"2024-01-16T10:58:01","date_gmt":"2024-01-16T07:58:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=55515"},"modified":"2024-01-16T17:27:35","modified_gmt":"2024-01-16T14:27:35","slug":"anket-sirketi-yoneticilerine-gore-istanbul-secimde-hangi-kesim-belirleyici-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/anket-sirketi-yoneticilerine-gore-istanbul-secimde-hangi-kesim-belirleyici-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Anket \u015firketi y\u00f6neticilerine g\u00f6re \u0130stanbul se\u00e7imde hangi kesim belirleyici olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) –<\/strong> 31 Mart\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak yerel se\u00e7imler, CHP’nin aday\u0131, mevcut belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu ile AK Parti’nin aday\u0131, eski \u00c7evre \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim Bakan\u0131 Murat Kurum aras\u0131nda ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. HDP ve \u0130Y\u0130 Parti’nin aday \u00e7\u0131karmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2019 se\u00e7imlerini Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131na g\u00f6re bu se\u00e7imde Halklar\u0131n E\u015fitlik ve Demokrasi Partisi (DEM Parti), \u0130Y\u0130 Parti ile Yeniden Refah Partisi\u2019nin (YRP) se\u00e7ime girmesi sonucu de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir. Rawest Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Grubu M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Roj Girasun, ORC Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Mehmet P\u00f6steki ile MAK Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mehmet Ali Kulat saha ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131n\u0131 ve olas\u0131 senaryolar\u0131 Art\u0131 Ger\u00e7ek\u2019e de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n

\u0130Y\u0130 PART\u0130 VE DEM PART\u0130\u2019N\u0130N ADAYLARI G\u00dc\u00c7L\u00dc OLURSA\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rawest Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Grubu M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Roj Girasun yapt\u0131klar\u0131 son ara\u015ft\u0131rma verilerinin Kas\u0131m ay\u0131na ait oldu\u011funa ve o d\u00f6nem AK Parti\u2019nin aday isminin hen\u00fcz belli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekerek de\u011ferlendirmesine ba\u015flad\u0131. Girasun, \u201cDEM Parti aday g\u00f6sterecek mi? \u0130Y\u0130 Partinin aday\u0131 kim olacak? Zafer Partisi ne kadar etki edecek? Yeniden Refah Partisi Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019na destek verecek mi, yoksa d\u0131\u015far\u0131da m\u0131 kalacak?\u201d sorular\u0131 nedeniyle belirsizli\u011fi devam etti\u011fini belirtti ve \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu:<\/p>\n

“B\u00fct\u00fcn partilerin ittifaks\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir tabloda; Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun oylar\u0131 AK Parti ve MHP\u2019nin ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oylar\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bununla beraber e\u011fer \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019nin ya da DEM Parti\u2019nin aday\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olursa AK Parti aday\u0131 Murat Kurum\u2019un \u00f6ne ge\u00e7mesi muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. AK Parti\u2019nin oy alabilece\u011fi y\u00fczde 47\u2019lik bir havuzu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrken, CHP\u2019nin ise y\u00fczde 53 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Fakat bu oran di\u011fer partilere ne kadar da\u011f\u0131l\u0131r, belirleyici olan o. \u00c7ok fazla akt\u00f6rl\u00fc bir durum var ve bu da de\u011fi\u015fime sebep olur. Adaylar\u0131n tamam\u0131 netle\u015fmeden ve ittifaklar belli olmadan net bir \u015fey s\u00f6yleyemiyoruz.\u201d<\/p>\n

ORC\u2019DEN P\u00d6STEK\u0130: AKP\u2019DE REHAVET VAR, \u0130MAMO\u011eLU\u2019NUN KURACA\u011eI \u0130LET\u0130\u015e\u0130M ETK\u0130L\u0130 OLACAK<\/strong><\/p>\n

ORC Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Mehmet P\u00f6steki partiler aras\u0131ndaki ittifaklar\u0131n hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmemesi nedeniyle \u0130mamo\u011flu ve Murat Kurum’un oy oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fa ba\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtti. P\u00f6steki, bir \u00f6nceki se\u00e7im d\u00f6neminde var olan dinamiklerin \u015fu anda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. CHP\u2019nin, ittifak\u0131n kurulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerlerde di\u011fer se\u00e7men gruplar\u0131ndan oy almak i\u00e7in uygun profilde adaylar \u00e7\u0131karmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylen Mehmet P\u00f6steki, bu y\u00fczden de aday belirleme s\u00fcrecinin uzad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zlemlediklerini belirtti.<\/p>\n

ORC Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Mehmet P\u00f6steki\u2019nin de\u011ferlendirmelerinden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar \u015f\u00f6yle: \u201cAK Parti se\u00e7im start\u0131n\u0131 depremi g\u00fcndemi ile verdi ve bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u0130stanbul i\u00e7in s\u00f6ylemlerini destekler nitelikte bir aday \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. CHP\u2019nin aday\u0131 olan \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun \u015fu anki dezavantajlar\u0131ndan bahsedecek olursak; 2019\u2019da ma\u011fdur bir belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131yd\u0131 ancak \u015fu anda o misyonda de\u011fil. Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu ve Murat Kurum\u2019un k\u0131yaslad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun biraz daha \u00f6nde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyordu fakat \u015fu an ba\u015fa ba\u015f bir durum s\u00f6z konusu. AK Parti\u2019de de \u2018Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131 bozuldu\u011fu i\u00e7in se\u00e7imi kazan\u0131r\u0131z\u2019 rehaveti var.”<\/p>\n

‘CHP’N\u0130N A\u00c7IKLANMAYAN \u0130L\u00c7E ADAYLARI DA BEL\u0130RLEY\u0130C\u0130 OLACAK’<\/strong><\/p>\n

“\u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019nun alaca\u011f\u0131 oyda, kuraca\u011f\u0131 ileti\u015fim ve y\u00fcr\u00fctece\u011fi se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131 kadar CHP’nin a\u00e7\u0131klanmayan il\u00e7e adaylar\u0131 da belirleyici olacakt\u0131r. Saha g\u00f6zlemimiz ba\u015fa ba\u015ft\u0131r. CHP, ittifak\u0131n yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerlerde adaylar\u0131n\u0131 di\u011fer se\u00e7men gruplar\u0131ndan oy alacak \u015fekilde belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz, \u00f6zellikle de \u0130Y\u0130 Partili se\u00e7menlerden. S\u00fcre\u00e7 bu y\u00fczden uzuyor diyebiliriz. CHP bir\u00e7ok yerde yine kazanacakt\u0131r elbet fakat kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerlerden baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 da kaybedebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek laz\u0131m.\u201d<\/p>\n

‘KURUM \u2018S\u0130YASET\u00c7\u0130\u2019 OLARAK B\u0130L\u0130NM\u0130YOR, \u0130MAMO\u011eLU \u0130SE ESK\u0130S\u0130 KADAR \u2018B\u0130L\u0130NMEYEN\u2019 B\u0130R\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L’<\/strong><\/p>\n

MAK Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k Ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015eirketi\u2019nden Mehmet Ali Kulat, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nem \u0130stanbul se\u00e7imlerinin 13 bin oy fark\u0131yla tekrarlanmas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatarak ittifaklar\u0131n kurulup kurulmayaca\u011f\u0131 ve di\u011fer partilerin a\u00e7\u0131klayacaklar\u0131 aday isimlerinin \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti. Kulat, iki partili bir se\u00e7im olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan s\u00f6z konusu anket verilerinin ger\u00e7e\u011fi yans\u0131tmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131 ve \u015fu de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu:<\/p>\n

\u201cBir \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nem yar\u0131\u015f, Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m ile Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu aras\u0131ndayd\u0131 fakat \u015fu an saha \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131labilmesi i\u00e7in adaylar\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131n belli olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. \u0130Y\u0130 Parti aday \u00e7\u0131karacak m\u0131 ve bu ki\u015fi etkin bir isim mi olacak? Bu konu \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc e\u011fer \u0130Y\u0130 Parti Bu\u011fra Kavuncu\u2019yu aday g\u00f6sterirse b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda kendi partisinin oyunu alacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n

“DEM Parti\u2019nin aday \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p \u00e7\u0131karmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmiyoruz. Ge\u00e7en se\u00e7im Saadet Partisi 90 bin civar\u0131nda oy ald\u0131. Saadet Partisi bu oylar\u0131 di\u011fer partilere da\u011f\u0131tsayd\u0131 se\u00e7im ikinci kez tekrarlanmazd\u0131. Birden fazla etken oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fu anda anket sistemi sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 i\u015flemez. B\u00fct\u00fcn adaylar belli olduktan sonra bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekir.”<\/p>\n

“Bir di\u011fer a\u00e7\u0131dan k\u0131sa bir de\u011ferlendirme yapacak olursak; Murat Kurum ismi bakan olarak g\u00f6rev yapt\u0131 ama siyaset\u00e7i olarak bilinmiyor ve Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu ismi eskisi kadar bilinmeyen bir isim de\u011fil, kendi icraatlar\u0131 var. Ba\u015fat adaylar\u0131 yani; \u0130Y\u0130 Parti ve DEM Parti\u2019nin adaylar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmemiz laz\u0131m.”<\/p>\n

‘DEM PART\u0130 VE \u0130Y\u0130 PART\u0130 ADAY \u00c7IKARIRSA \u0130MAMO\u011eLU’NDAN OY ALIR’<\/strong><\/p>\n

“DEVA Partisi\u2019nin de aday\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz se\u00e7imin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 bize 13 bin fark\u0131n \u00f6nemini g\u00f6steriyor. S\u0131radan bir parti bile 13 bin oy alabilir o y\u00fczden bunlar \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. DEM Parti ve \u0130Y\u0130 Parti aday \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rsa oylar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019ndan alacak”<\/p>\n

‘YEN\u0130DEN REFAH’IN ADAYI BEL\u0130RLEY\u0130C\u0130 OLACAK’<\/strong><\/p>\n

“Elbette Yeniden Refah Partisini de konu\u015fmak laz\u0131m. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bir\u00e7ok yerinde AK Parti\u2019ye k\u0131zan se\u00e7menin ba\u015fvuru noktas\u0131 haline geldi bu sebepten aday \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p \u00e7\u0131karmamas\u0131 \u00f6nemli. Yeniden Refah Partisi sembolik bir aday m\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karacak olursa \u00f6rnek veriyorum eskiden Gen\u00e7lik ve Spor Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f Suat K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7\u2019\u0131 veya merhum Necmettin Erbakan\u2019\u0131n damad\u0131 ve Yeniden Refah Partisi Genel Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mehmet Alt\u0131n\u00f6z\u2019\u00fc aday g\u00f6sterirse bu ki\u015filer \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oy alacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – 31 Mart\u2019ta yap\u0131lacak yerel se\u00e7imler, CHP’nin aday\u0131, mevcut belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu ile AK Parti’nin aday\u0131, eski \u00c7evre \u015eehircilik ve \u0130klim Bakan\u0131 Murat Kurum aras\u0131nda ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. HDP ve \u0130Y\u0130 Parti’nin aday \u00e7\u0131karmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2019 se\u00e7imlerini Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak kamuoyu ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131na g\u00f6re bu se\u00e7imde Halklar\u0131n E\u015fitlik ve Demokrasi Partisi (DEM Parti), […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":53100,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"Art\u0131 Ger\u00e7ek ","source_url":"https:\/\/artigercek.com\/politika\/anket-sirketlerinin-yoneticileri-degerlendirdi-yerel-secimlerde-istanbulun-280572h","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"4","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[12657,12658,12659,1422],"class_list":["post-55515","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-son-haberler","tag-anket-sirketleri","tag-istanbul-secimleri","tag-kim-etkili-olacak","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55515","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55515"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55515\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53100"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}