{"id":5244,"date":"2023-04-05T16:47:02","date_gmt":"2023-04-05T13:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=5244"},"modified":"2023-04-13T16:47:36","modified_gmt":"2023-04-13T13:47:36","slug":"amerikan-yatirim-bankasi-morgan-stanley-secimi-kim-kazanirsa-kazansin-dolar-yukselecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/amerikan-yatirim-bankasi-morgan-stanley-secimi-kim-kazanirsa-kazansin-dolar-yukselecek\/","title":{"rendered":"Amerikan yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 Morgan Stanley: Se\u00e7imi kim kazan\u0131rsa kazans\u0131n dolar y\u00fckselecek"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(The Turkish Post) &#8211;<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de se\u00e7imler yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ve bankalar\u0131n ilgisi de art\u0131yor. Bu kapsamda yabanc\u0131 bankalar se\u00e7im sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin analizlerini yay\u0131nlamaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Britanya merkezli bankac\u0131l\u0131k devi Standard Chartered, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de se\u00e7imleri Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n kazanmas\u0131 ve mevcut ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 devam ettirmesi durumunda dolar\/TL\u2019nin 36 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Se\u00e7im sonucunda geleneksel ekonomi politikalar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f halindeyse dolar i\u00e7in y\u0131l sonu 20 TL tahmini yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley analizinde de se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 her iki ihtimal i\u00e7in de dolar\/TL\u2019nin y\u00fckselece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>\u0130ktidar kazan\u0131rsa<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve meclis \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun farkl\u0131 partilerde olmas\u0131 durumunda dolar\/TL haziranda h\u0131zl\u0131ca 25 seviyesine y\u00fckselecek ve seneyi 27 TL seviyesinden kapatacak. AKP ve Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n zaferindeyse dolar\/TL ilk etapta yatak bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselecek ancak seneyi yine 27 TL seviyesinden kapatacak.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda h\u00fck\u00fcmetin politikalar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareketle ve yeni bir makro politika \u00e7er\u00e7evesi getirilene kadar 2024\u2019te ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek bir resesyonla sonu\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131 tahmini payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Muhalefet kazan\u0131rsa<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Muhalefetin kazanmas\u0131 durumundaysa ilk etapta dolar\/TL\u2019de 24\u2019e varan bir art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. Daha sonra art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flayacak ve 2023 sonu seviye 25 TL olacak.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda muhalefetin kazanmas\u0131 halinde \u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eyreklik daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2024 ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra h\u0131zl\u0131 bir toparlanma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(The Turkish Post) &#8211; T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de se\u00e7imler yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ve bankalar\u0131n ilgisi de art\u0131yor. Bu kapsamda yabanc\u0131 bankalar se\u00e7im sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin analizlerini yay\u0131nlamaya devam ediyor. Britanya merkezli bankac\u0131l\u0131k devi Standard Chartered, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de se\u00e7imleri Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n kazanmas\u0131 ve mevcut ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 devam ettirmesi durumunda dolar\/TL\u2019nin 36 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Se\u00e7im sonucunda geleneksel ekonomi politikalar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5245,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"Diken","source_url":"https:\/\/www.diken.com.tr\/abdli-bankanin-dolar-tl-icin-secim-senaryosu-iki-ihtimalde-de-artacak","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[209,305,1100,1099],"class_list":["post-5244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-14-mayis","tag-dolar","tag-dolar-tl-kuru","tag-morgan-stanley"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5244"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5244\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5245"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}