{"id":47042,"date":"2023-12-14T08:51:43","date_gmt":"2023-12-14T05:51:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=47042"},"modified":"2023-12-14T08:51:43","modified_gmt":"2023-12-14T05:51:43","slug":"fed-faizi-sabit-tutma-karari-verdi-altin-firladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/fed-faizi-sabit-tutma-karari-verdi-altin-firladi\/","title":{"rendered":"FED faizi sabit tutma karar\u0131 verdi, alt\u0131n f\u0131rlad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013<\/strong> ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (FED) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi\u2019nin (FOMC) bug\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan federal fonlama faizini y\u00fczde 5,25-5,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutma karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Karar, oybirli\u011fi ile al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n

FED, \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda da faizi de\u011fi\u015ftirmemi\u015f oldu. Piyasa beklentisi de faizlerin sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n

FED, Mart 2022’den bu yana yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 15 toplant\u0131n\u0131n 11’inde toplamda 525 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na imza att\u0131. Faizler 22 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

ABD’de y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketici enflasyonu enflasyon, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l haziranda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 9 ile 1981’den itibaren en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rmesinin ard\u0131ndan haziranda y\u00fczde 3\u2019e gerilemi\u015fti ancak kas\u0131mda y\u00fczde 3,1 oldu. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyon da kas\u0131mda y\u00fczde 4 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

FED’DEN A\u00c7IKLAMA<\/strong><\/p>\n

FED a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda “S\u0131k\u0131 finansal \u015fartlar ve kredi \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik aktivite , istihdam ve enflasyon \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k, ancak etkinin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirsiz olmaya devam ediyor” denildi.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klamada ayr\u0131ca “Veriler ekonomik aktivitenin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti” ve “Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar eyl\u00fcl projeksiyonlar\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 2024’te zay\u0131f GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve ayn\u0131 i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 bekliyorlar” ifadeleri dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

\u0130stihdam piyasas\u0131na ili\u015fkin ise a\u00e7\u0131klamada “\u0130stihdam art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 azald\u0131, ancak istihdam piyasas\u0131 hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck” denildi.<\/p>\n

2024’TE \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130M BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

FED’in noktasal grafikleri 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda 75 baz puan faiz indirim beklentisini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Piyasalar Fed’in mart ay\u0131nda faiz indirmesi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 60’dan y\u00fcksek fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar FED’in may\u0131s ay\u0131nda faiz indirimine gitme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 90 olas\u0131l\u0131kla fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu oran bu ak\u015famki karar \u00f6ncesi y\u00fczde 80 seviyesindeydi<\/p>\n

FED TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

FOMC \u00fcyelerinin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi, 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,1’den y\u00fczde 2,6’ya y\u00fckselirken, 2024 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 1,4’e geriledi.<\/p>\n

2025 y\u0131l\u0131 GSYH beklentisi y\u00fczde 1,8’de kal\u0131rken 2026 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 1,8’den y\u00fczde 1,9’a y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Uzun d\u00f6nem b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi de y\u00fczde 1,8’de kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

FED’in enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi olarak takip etti\u011fi \u00e7ekirdek ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) fiyat endeksinde art\u0131\u015f beklentisi 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,7’den y\u00fczde 3,2’ye, 2024 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6’dan y\u00fczde 2,4’e, 2025 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,3’ten y\u00fczde 2,2’ye gerilerken, 2025 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,0 olarak kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

PCE beklentisi 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,3’ten y\u00fczde 2,8’e, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,5’ten y\u00fczde 2,4’e, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,2’den y\u00fczde 2,1’e gerilerken, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,0’de sabit kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

FED \u00fcyelerinin medyan faiz beklentisi 2023 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5,6’dan y\u00fczde 5,4’e, 2024 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 5,1’den y\u00fczde 4,6’ya, 2025 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,9’dan y\u00fczde 3,6’ya gerilerken, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,9’da ve uzun d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,5’te sabit kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

FED yetkilileri 3 ayda bir ABD’nin i\u015fsizlik, enflasyon, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve faiz oranlar\u0131yla ilgili \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 y\u0131l ve uzun d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin beklentilerini payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

ALTIN, BORSA VE KR\u0130PTO Y\u00dcKSELD\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

Karar \u00f6ncesinde 1982 dolar olan ons alt\u0131n, karar sonras\u0131nda 2 bin dolar\u0131 a\u015farak 2 bin 17 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Gram alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 da 1880 TL’yi a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin y\u00fczde 3’\u00fc a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ons g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015fte de 23,57 dolar seviyesi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Karar sonras\u0131nda ABD borsalar\u0131nda hisse senedi endekslerinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Dow Jones ve S&P 500 endeksinde y\u00fckseli\u015fler y\u00fczde 1,3’\u00fc a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Karar sonras\u0131nda da Bitcoin fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlendi ve bir numaral\u0131 kripto para biriminde 42 bin 794 dolar seviyesi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bitcoin’de g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00fczde 4’\u00fc a\u015farken, 2 bin 253 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6ren Ethereum’da da y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00fczde 4’e yakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Karar sonras\u0131nda ABD Hazine tahvil faizlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6zlendi. 2 y\u0131l vadeli tahvil faizi y\u00fczde 4,66’dan y\u00fczde 4,45’e, 10 y\u0131l vadeli tahvil faizi y\u00fczde 4,16’dan 4,01’e, 5 y\u0131l vadeli tahvil faizi y\u00fczde 4,18’den y\u00fczde 3,97’ye geriledi.<\/p>\n

Dolar endeksi y\u00fczde 1’e yakun oranda gerilerken Euro\/dolar paritesinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

POWELL’DAN A\u00c7IKLAMA<\/strong><\/p>\n

FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, karar sonras\u0131nda kameralar\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na ge\u00e7ti. Powell’\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan sat\u0131r ba\u015flar\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n

* Y\u00fczde 2 enflasyona d\u00f6nme hedefimize tamamen ba\u011fl\u0131y\u0131z. Enflasyon h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek ve izleyece\u011fi patika belirsiz.<\/p>\n

*\u00a0 Son birka\u00e7 aydaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon okumalar\u0131 memnuniyet yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n

* S\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 duru\u015fumuz ekonomik aktivite ve enflasyon \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

* Att\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ad\u0131mlar politika faizini s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 b\u00f6lgeye getirdi. Yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n tam etkileri hen\u00fcz hissedilmedi.<\/p>\n

* Enflasyonun y\u00fczde 2 patikas\u0131nda oldu\u011funa inana kadar politikay\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlay\u0131c\u0131 tutaca\u011f\u0131z. Temkinli \u015fekilde durmaya devam edece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

* E\u011fer uygun olur ise politikay\u0131 daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya haz\u0131r\u0131z. FOMC \u00fcyeleri daha fazla faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 masadan kald\u0131rmak istemedi.<\/p>\n

* \u015eu anda politika faizimizin tepe noktas\u0131na yak\u0131n oldu\u011funa inansak da ge\u00e7mi\u015fte d\u00f6ng\u00fc bize s\u00fcrprizler yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

* \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 hala s\u0131k\u0131, ancak daha iyi bir dengeye geliyor. Nominal \u00fccret b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi yava\u015flamaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda yeniden dengelenmenin devam etmesini bekliyorlar.<\/p>\n

*\u00a0 Faizleri indirmek i\u00e7in ne zaman\u0131n uygun olaca\u011f\u0131 sorusu bug\u00fcn g\u00fcndeme geldi. Toplant\u0131da \u00fcyeler faiz indirim tahminlerini ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

* Faizlerin ne zaman indirilece\u011fi daha tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lacak, \u00e7ok dikkatli \u015fekilde karar verece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

* Faizler konusunda yeterince \u015fey yapt\u0131k, ancak bundan hen\u00fcz tamam olarak emin de\u011filiz.<\/p>\n

*\u00a0 E\u011fer g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcrsek, bu enflasyonu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 getirmenin daha uzun s\u00fcrece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir.\u00a0 Trendin \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme, faizleri yeniden art\u0131rmam\u0131z gerekti\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (FED) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi\u2019nin (FOMC) bug\u00fcnk\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan federal fonlama faizini y\u00fczde 5,25-5,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutma karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Karar, oybirli\u011fi ile al\u0131nd\u0131. FED, \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131nda da faizi de\u011fi\u015ftirmemi\u015f oldu. Piyasa beklentisi de faizlerin sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. FED, Mart 2022’den bu yana yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 15 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":47043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"S\u00f6zc\u00fc","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":"2"},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[531,1003,672,315],"class_list":["post-47042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-altin","tag-faiz","tag-fed","tag-ust-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47042"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47042\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47043"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}