{"id":4574,"date":"2023-03-28T13:16:54","date_gmt":"2023-03-28T10:16:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=4574"},"modified":"2023-04-13T16:49:31","modified_gmt":"2023-04-13T13:49:31","slug":"dunya-bankasindan-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-icin-kayip-10-yil-uyarisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/dunya-bankasindan-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-icin-kayip-10-yil-uyarisi\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131’ndan k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in “kay\u0131p 10 y\u0131l” uyar\u0131s\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) –<\/strong> D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonominin ortalama potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2022 ile 2030 aras\u0131nda y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 2,2 ile 30 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n

Banka, “D\u00fc\u015fen Uzun Vadeli B\u00fcy\u00fcme Beklentileri: E\u011filimler, Beklentiler ve Politikalar” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’da ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan uzun vadeli potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin ilk kapsaml\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmenin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, k\u00fcresel ekonominin enflasyona yol a\u00e7madan b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilece\u011fi maksimum uzun vadeli oran\u0131n 2030’a kadar 30 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, bu oranlar\u0131n k\u00fcresel ekonominin “h\u0131z limiti” olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerin potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeleri y\u00fczde 4’e gerileyebilir<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Son 30 y\u0131lda ilerlemeye ve refaha kuvvet veren ekonomik g\u00fc\u00e7lerin neredeyse tamam\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekilen raporda, 2022 ile 2030 aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonominin ortalama potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 2,2’ye d\u00fc\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fini, bunun bu y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ilk 10 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki oran\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te bire denk geldi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, s\u00f6z konusu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomiler i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 derecede sert olaca\u011f\u0131, 2000 ile 2010 aras\u0131nda y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 6 olan ortalama potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n bu 10 y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 4’e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Bankan\u0131n raporunda, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin k\u00fcresel bir finansal kriz veya resesyon durumunda \u00e7ok daha keskin olaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuldu.<\/p>\n

Resesyonlar ve sistemik bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizleri b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde etkili<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\u00dclkelerin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir, b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik politikalar benimsemesi halinde potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 0,7 puana kadar art\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, bunun beklenen bir yava\u015flamay\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonominin potasiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, resesyonlar ve sistemik bankac\u0131l\u0131k krizleri gibi bir dizi k\u0131sa vadeli ekonomik aksaman\u0131n orta vadede potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 da aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Uzun vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerini desteklemede \u00f6nemli bir fark yaratabilecek ulusal d\u00fczeyde belirli politika eylemlerine de yer verilen raporda, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almaya, finansal sekt\u00f6r istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamaya, borcu azaltmaya ve mali tedbiri yeniden tesis etmeye \u00f6ncelik vermesi gerekti\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, ula\u015f\u0131m ve enerji, iklim dostu tar\u0131m ve \u00fcretim, toprak ve su sistemleri gibi alanlarda temel iklim hedefleriyle uyumlu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Ticaret maliyetlerinin de azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi belirtilen raporda, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi ve hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin “yeni motoru” olabilece\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

“Politikalar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla k\u00fcresel ekonominin h\u0131z limiti art\u0131r\u0131labilir”<\/strong><\/h4>\n

D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fekonomisti ve Kalk\u0131nma Ekonomisinden Sorumlu K\u0131demli Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Indermit Gill, rapora ili\u015fkin “K\u00fcresel ekonomi, kay\u0131p bir 10 y\u0131l ya\u015fama yolunda” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

Potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmede s\u00fcregelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn yoksulluk, farkl\u0131la\u015fan gelirler ve iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi gibi d\u00fcnyan\u0131n zamana \u00f6zg\u00fc artan zorluklarla m\u00fccadele etme kabiliyeti \u00fczerinde ciddi etkileri oldu\u011funu belirten Gill, ancak bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn tersine \u00e7evrilebilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Gill, “\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 te\u015fvik eden, \u00fcretkenli\u011fi art\u0131ran ve yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131ran politikalar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla k\u00fcresel ekonominin h\u0131z limiti art\u0131r\u0131labilir” ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131, k\u00fcresel ekonominin ortalama potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2022 ile 2030 aras\u0131nda y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 2,2 ile 30 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fini bildirdi. Banka, “D\u00fc\u015fen Uzun Vadeli B\u00fcy\u00fcme Beklentileri: E\u011filimler, Beklentiler ve Politikalar” ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 ve Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’da ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan uzun vadeli potansiyel b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin ilk […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4576,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"T24","source_url":"https:\/\/t24.com.tr\/haber\/dunya-bankasi-ndan-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-icin-kayip-10-yil-uyarisi,1101002","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[870,866,869,867,868],"class_list":["post-4574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-beklentiler-ve-politikalar","tag-dunya-bankasi","tag-dusen-uzun-vadeli-buyume-beklentileri-egilimler","tag-kayip-10-yil","tag-kuresel-buyume"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4574\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}