{"id":43236,"date":"2023-11-28T09:20:38","date_gmt":"2023-11-28T06:20:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=43236"},"modified":"2024-01-06T13:35:37","modified_gmt":"2024-01-06T10:35:37","slug":"husnu-yusuf-turabic-yazdi-yerel-secimin-kaderi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/husnu-yusuf-turabic-yazdi-yerel-secimin-kaderi\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u00fcsn\u00fc Yusuf Turabi\u00e7 yazd\u0131… Yerel se\u00e7imin kaderi"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – H\u00dcSN\u00dc YUSUF TURAB\u0130\u00c7<\/strong><\/p>\n

Resmen olmasa bile yerel se\u00e7im s\u00fcreci ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni bir sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n menzili i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye. AK Parti hafta sonu b\u00fct\u00fcn illerde temay\u00fcl yoklamas\u0131 yapt\u0131. CHP yeni kriterler belirledi. Ana muhalefet partisinde K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 ba\u015fkan\u0131n adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kesin. Di\u011ferleri belirsiz.<\/p>\n

\u0130Y\u0130 Parti her se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesinde aday \u00e7\u0131karacak. Tabii bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7inde revize edilebilir. Son karar de\u011fil yani. Mansur Yava\u015f ve Ekrem \u0130mamo\u011flu, Ak\u015fener\u2019le g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130\u015f birli\u011fi i\u00e7in zemin yoklad\u0131. Partilerin se\u00e7im stratejileri de aday tercihleri de her t\u00fcrl\u00fc s\u00fcrprize gebe. Baz\u0131 ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 var…<\/p>\n

\u0130ktidar ve muhalefet cephesinin yerel se\u00e7imlere \u00e7ok as\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. 31 Mart\u2019tan sonra 4 y\u0131ll\u0131k se\u00e7imsiz bir d\u00f6nem var. T\u00fcrkiye gibi s\u0131k se\u00e7im yapan bir \u00fclke i\u00e7in uzun bir s\u00fcre bu.<\/p>\n

Yerel se\u00e7imlerin ortaya koyaca\u011f\u0131 tablo genel y\u00f6netimi de etkileyecek. \u0130ster k\u0131smi ister yerel olsun se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 iktidar ve parti y\u00f6netimleri i\u00e7in \u2018g\u00fcvenoyu\u2019 anlam\u0131na gelir. Sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n etkisi yerel ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmaz. Hezimet halinde iktidar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan me\u015fruiyet tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ba\u015flar, muhalefette ise genel ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n koltu\u011fu tehlikeye girer.<\/p>\n

AK Parti\u2019nin oylar\u0131 son genel se\u00e7imlerde y\u00fczde 35\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2002\u2019de ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 noktaya geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. MHP\u2019nin deste\u011fi art\u0131k hayati konumda. Tek ba\u015f\u0131na kazanmas\u0131 veya iktidar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u0130ki parti aras\u0131nda da so\u011fuk r\u00fczgarlar esiyor. AK Parti, MHP\u2019nin yerine ba\u015fta partileri HDP ve \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019yi ikame etmek i\u00e7in alttan alta dirsek temas\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ktidar partisinin temaslar\u0131 yerel se\u00e7imin kaderini etkileyecek. Se\u00e7imi kazanmak i\u00e7in sadece partilerin performans\u0131 tek ba\u015f\u0131na yeterli de\u011fil. \u0130ttifak veya blok stratejileri de sonu\u00e7 \u00fczerinde belirleyici olacak. Art\u0131k sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n neticesini partiler aras\u0131 se\u00e7im i\u015f birlikleri belirliyor. 31 Mart\u2019ta da belirleyecek.<\/p>\n

Eskiden her parti g\u00fcc\u00fc nispetinde kazanma potas\u0131na girerdi. Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n siyaset sahnesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 1994 yerel se\u00e7imlerinde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 25,1… Bug\u00fcn inanmas\u0131 zor.<\/p>\n

O d\u00f6nemde partiler ba\u015fkanl\u0131k i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015famasa bile g\u00fc\u00e7lerini korumak ve artt\u0131rmak i\u00e7in yo\u011fun m\u00fccadele verdirdi. Kazanmak kadar amblemiyle, ismiyle var olmak da \u00f6nemliydi.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan 1994\u2019te y\u00fczde 25\u2019le kazand\u0131, 2019\u2019da Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m y\u00fczde 48\u2019le kaybetti. De\u011fil d\u00fcn, bug\u00fcn bile d\u00fcnde kald\u0131. Yar\u0131n art\u0131k bug\u00fcnd\u00fcr… Gayr\u0131 eski hal muhal…<\/p>\n

Yar\u0131\u015f ikiliye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Partiler – adaylar de\u011fil, ittifaklar – bloklar yar\u0131\u015f\u0131yor art\u0131k. Se\u00e7men de ikili yar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sevdi ve benimsedi. Eskiye kolay d\u00f6nmez.<\/p>\n

Muhalefet blo\u011funda yer alan HDP ve \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019nin se\u00e7imlere tek ba\u015flar\u0131na girmesi bu ger\u00e7e\u011fi de\u011fi\u015ftirir mi? Elbette fark ettirir. \u00d6zellikle HDP\u2019nin \u0130stanbul, Ankara, Adana, Mersin gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirlerde aday \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 Cumhur ittifak\u0131na yarar. HDP\u2019nin se\u00e7meni partisine ba\u011fl\u0131. \u0130Y\u0130 Parti taban\u0131 biraz daha esnek. Hatta tavan\u0131 bile gev\u015fek. \u0130stifalar\u0131n nedeni yerelse\u00e7imlere tek ba\u015f\u0131na girmek karar\u0131na tepki…<\/p>\n

Siyaset kulislerinde AK Parti ile HDP aras\u0131nda anla\u015fma oldu\u011fu kulaktan kula\u011fa f\u0131s\u0131ldan\u0131yor. Buna g\u00f6re HDP her yerde aday \u00e7\u0131karacak, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k iktidar \u2018kayy\u0131m politikas\u0131ndan\u2019 vazge\u00e7ecek. Yani G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da HDP\u2019nin kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 yerlere kayy\u0131m atanmayacak. AK Parti bu tavizi verir mi? Verir. HDP \u2018tamam\u2019 der mi? Der. Peki MHP? Ba\u011fr\u0131na ta\u015f basar, Sinan O\u011fan olay\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi susar.<\/p>\n

AK Parti i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirler \u00f6zellikle \u0130stanbul \u00e7ok ama \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. \u0130stanbul\u2019u tekrar kazanmak i\u00e7in elindeki b\u00fct\u00fcn kozlar\u0131 kullanmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 de \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmaz. HDP\u2019siz bir muhalefet blo\u011fu kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Cumhur ittifak\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131\u015fa birka\u00e7 ad\u0131m \u00f6nde ba\u015flamas\u0131 olas\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ben yerel se\u00e7imin kaderini adaylardan \u00e7ok parti stratejilerinin belirleyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Belki \u0130zmir, Diyarbak\u0131r gibi yerler hari\u00e7 hi\u00e7bir il \u00e7antada keklik de\u011fil. Se\u00e7ime avantajl\u0131 girmek, favori olmak ba\u015fka sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kmak ba\u015fka. Her se\u00e7im kendine \u00f6zg\u00fc \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcretir. Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imindeki oy oranlar\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc olarak al\u0131nmamal\u0131. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u015fahsi karizmas\u0131n\u0131n getirisinin yerel se\u00e7imlere yans\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131 5 y\u0131l \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan \u0130stanbul\u2019u \u00e7ok istedi, \u00e7ok as\u0131ld\u0131, cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 s\u0131fat\u0131yla il\u00e7e il\u00e7e mitingler yapt\u0131 fakat g\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta favori olmayan \u0130mamo\u011flu\u2019na kar\u015f\u0131 kaybetti. AK Parti\u2019nin \u2018Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k, bakanl\u0131k, meclis ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f Binali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131m kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u0130stanbul\u2019un k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve \u00fccra k\u00f6\u015fesinde il\u00e7e belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f \u0130mamo\u011flu \u015fans\u0131 m\u0131 olur…\u2019 propagandas\u0131 i\u015fe yaramad\u0131. K\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki s\u0131klet fark\u0131 halkta kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlara ra\u011fmen iktidar blo\u011fu rahat de\u011fil. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de i\u015fler iyi gitmiyor. Enflasyon ve hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplumu hayat\u0131ndan bezdirdi. AK Parti 5 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine kadar daha avantajl\u0131 de\u011fil. Aksine dezavantajlar\u0131 var. Bu a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 di\u011fer partilerin se\u00e7im politikalar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirerek kapatabilir mi? Can al\u0131c\u0131 soru bu.<\/p>\n

AK Parti erimeyi durdurabilecek mi? MHP ile aras\u0131ndaki saflar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 tutabilecek mi? \u0130ki parti taban\u0131ndaki rahats\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131p motivasyona d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrebilecek mi? Soka\u011f\u0131 arkas\u0131na alacak karizmatik bir aday \u00e7\u0131karabilecek mi?<\/p>\n

Tamam, AK Parti se\u00e7im sihirbaz\u0131. Bir \u015fekilde kazanman\u0131n yolunu bulur, hedefe giden yolun ta\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00f6\u015fer. Evet, \u00f6yleydi. Ama art\u0131k r\u00fczg\u00e2r arkas\u0131ndan esmiyor. Yol yoku\u015f a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 de\u011fil. Eski r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 yok. Ve bagaj\u0131 dolu, rampaya t\u0131rman\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Partilerin se\u00e7im stratejilerini de\u011ferlendirdikten sonra adaylar \u00fczerine konu\u015fabiliriz. Sonra ki yaz\u0131ya…<\/p>\n

husnuyusufturabic@gmail.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – H\u00dcSN\u00dc YUSUF TURAB\u0130\u00c7 Resmen olmasa bile yerel se\u00e7im s\u00fcreci ba\u015flad\u0131. Yeni bir sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n menzili i\u00e7inde T\u00fcrkiye. AK Parti hafta sonu b\u00fct\u00fcn illerde temay\u00fcl yoklamas\u0131 yapt\u0131. CHP yeni kriterler belirledi. Ana muhalefet partisinde K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 ba\u015fkan\u0131n adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kesin. Di\u011ferleri belirsiz. \u0130Y\u0130 Parti her se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesinde aday \u00e7\u0131karacak. Tabii bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7inde […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":41451,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"9150","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[9150,1],"tags":[9152,1422,4276],"class_list":["post-43236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazari","category-son-haberler","tag-husnu-yusuf-turabic","tag-slider-manset","tag-yerel-secim"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43236","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43236"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43236\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}