{"id":4109,"date":"2023-03-22T09:41:12","date_gmt":"2023-03-22T06:41:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=4109"},"modified":"2023-04-13T16:50:50","modified_gmt":"2023-04-13T13:50:50","slug":"dunya-banka-iflaslari-sonrasi-fedin-faiz-kararini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/dunya-banka-iflaslari-sonrasi-fedin-faiz-kararini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u00fcnya, banka iflaslar\u0131 sonras\u0131 FED’in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) –<\/strong> K\u00fcresel ekonomi bir dizi sorunla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya ve t\u00fcm g\u00f6zler tek bir y\u00f6ne bak\u0131yor: Amerika.<\/p>\n

ABD’de bu finansal sistemin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin korkular\u0131 art\u0131ran, iki banka iflas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya ekonomisini \u015foke eden ve resesyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131ran bu iki iflas, k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin, ABD liderli\u011finde, keskin \u015fekilde artmaya devam etmesi sonras\u0131 geldi.<\/p>\n

Krizin merkezinde ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 FED var.<\/p>\n

FED yetkilileri, ge\u00e7en y\u0131ldan bu yana, enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ancak ekonomiler b\u00f6ylesine bask\u0131 alt\u0131ndayken bu trend devam edebilir mi?<\/p>\n

Yaln\u0131zca iki hafta \u00f6nce FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell, fiyatlardaki dengelenme e\u011filiminin duraklamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n beklenenden fazla ve daha h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Beklenti ne y\u00f6nde?<\/strong><\/h4>\n

\u015eubat ay\u0131na kadar olan 12 ayda fiyatlar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 %6 oldu. Bu oran sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 kabul edilen y\u00fczde 2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n

Ancak son bankac\u0131l\u0131k \u00e7alkant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 bir\u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131, Fed’in finansal piyasalar\u0131 \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fccek seviyede bir hamleden ka\u00e7\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 beklentisinde.<\/p>\n

Bir\u00e7ok finans uzman\u0131, faizin 0,25 puan seviyesinde art\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fi gibi art\u0131\u015ftan tamamen ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131labilece\u011fi ihtimalini de de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Karar nas\u0131l \u00e7\u0131karsa \u00e7\u0131ks\u0131n, t\u00fcm g\u00f6zlerin \u00e7evrili oldu\u011fu makamdaki FED Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell\u2019\u0131n t\u00fcm kritiklerini tatmin etme \u015fans\u0131 \u00e7ok az.<\/p>\n

Faiz oranlar\u0131nda 0,25 puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f bekleyen Oxford Economics’in ba\u015f ekonomisti Ryan Sweet, “Bu muhtemelen Fed’in bir s\u00fcredir almak zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 en zor karar\u201d yorumunu yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiliz ekonomist, Powell’\u0131n \u201ciki y\u00f6nl\u00fc ekonomisti\u201d m\u00fckemmel oynamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, \u201chem enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in halen faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabileceklerine, hem de finansal sistem \u00fczerinde bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltacak ara\u00e7lar\u0131 oldu\u011funa ikna etmesi gerekiyor\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak Ryan Sweet, FED\u2019in bu mesaj\u0131 iyi vermesi gerekti\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekerken, “En b\u00fcy\u00fck zorluk ileti\u015fim olacak ve FED\u2019in bu noktada iyi bir sicili yok” diyor.<\/p>\n

“Ara\u00e7 kaza yapm\u0131\u015f durumda\u201d<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Eski Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump taraf\u0131ndan FED\u2019e liderlik etmesi i\u00e7in atanan Powell, 2021\u2019de ABD\u2019yi etkisi alt\u0131na almaya ba\u015flayan fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in, \u201cge\u00e7ici\u201d ifadesini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bu nedenle olu\u015fan itibar kayb\u0131n\u0131 yeniden sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in hali haz\u0131rda u\u011fra\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyordu. Son banka iflaslar\u0131 da soru i\u015faretlerine yenilerini ekledi.<\/p>\n

H\u0131zl\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kampanyas\u0131na odaklanan FED\u2019in piyasay\u0131 g\u00f6zetme noktas\u0131nda fazla gev\u015fek olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorusu g\u00fcndeme geliyor.<\/p>\n

FED ba\u015fkan\u0131 Powell\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 seviyede bir ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131k listesi\u201d oldu\u011funu savunan Demokrat Senat\u00f6r Elizabeth Warren, Jerome Powell\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6revde kalmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Gerek\u00e7e farkl\u0131 olsa da, Powell’a y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirel sesler, Wall Street’te ve Silikon Vadisi’nde de y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 David Sacks, banka iflaslar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Twitter hesab\u0131ndan, “Fed enflasyona, oldu\u011fundan alt\u0131 ay \u00f6nce tepki vermeli ve ard\u0131ndan faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 daha kademeli \u015fekilde art\u0131rmal\u0131yd\u0131. Bunun yerine frene as\u0131ld\u0131lar ve \u015fu anda ara\u00e7 kaza yapm\u0131\u015f durumda\u201d mesaj\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Tepki yay\u0131l\u0131rken, Beyaz Saray bu hafta, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joe Biden’\u0131n Bay Powell’a “g\u00fcvenini” teyit etti\u011fini kaydeden bir bildiri yay\u0131nlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

FED ge\u00e7en y\u0131l boyunca, bankalar\u0131n bor\u00e7lanma faizini s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n bir seviyeden %4,5’in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu oran, 2007’den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye demek.<\/p>\n

Ancak istihdamdaki art\u0131\u015f, konut piyasas\u0131ndaki keskin yava\u015flamaya ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 teknoloji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 yaratmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, ekonominin beklenenden iyi performans g\u00f6stermesini sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yine de, iflaslarla ya\u015fanan pani\u011finin ABD ekonomisini beklenenden daha erken resesyona sokmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiliz ekonomist Sweet, Powell \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na \u015f\u00fcphe olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor ve devam ediyor: “Bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminde herhangi bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131nda t\u00fcm g\u00f6zler Merkez Bankas\u0131’na \u00e7evrilir\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – K\u00fcresel ekonomi bir dizi sorunla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya ve t\u00fcm g\u00f6zler tek bir y\u00f6ne bak\u0131yor: Amerika. ABD’de bu finansal sistemin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin korkular\u0131 art\u0131ran, iki banka iflas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131. D\u00fcnya ekonomisini \u015foke eden ve resesyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131ran bu iki iflas, k\u00fcresel bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin, ABD liderli\u011finde, keskin \u015fekilde artmaya devam etmesi sonras\u0131 geldi. Krizin […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4110,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"BBC T\u00fcrk\u00e7e","source_url":"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/turkce\/articles\/cy7nd77lj37o","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"63","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[63,1],"tags":[700,672,701,315],"class_list":["post-4109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-son-haberler","tag-abd-merkez-bankasi","tag-fed","tag-jerome-powell","tag-ust-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4109","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4109"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4109\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4110"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4109"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4109"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4109"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}