{"id":28703,"date":"2023-09-21T11:53:42","date_gmt":"2023-09-21T08:53:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=28703"},"modified":"2023-09-21T11:53:42","modified_gmt":"2023-09-21T08:53:42","slug":"merkez-bankasinin-faiz-karari-merakla-bekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/merkez-bankasinin-faiz-karari-merakla-bekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131 merakla bekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) –<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) Toplant\u0131s\u0131’nda eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 saat 14.00’de a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Banka bir \u00f6nceki toplant\u0131da politika faizini 750 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 25 d\u00fczeyine y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Piyasa faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda karar metninde enflasyon geli\u015fmeleri ve para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesajlar\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan takip edecek.<\/p>\n

FA\u0130Z BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 NE Y\u00d6NDE?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 aydaki toplam faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 16.5 puana ula\u015ft\u0131. Peki, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz karar\u0131 ne olacak? \u0130\u015fte ekonomistlerin tahminleri…<\/p>\n

EKONOM\u0130STLER\u0130N TAMAMI ARTI\u015e BEKL\u0130YOR<\/strong><\/p>\n

Reuters anketine kat\u0131lan 16 ekonomistin tamam\u0131 y\u00fczde 25 seviyesindeki politika faizinde art\u0131\u015f beklerken, tahminler y\u00fczde 27,5 ile y\u00fczde 31 band\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Ankette iki ekonomist 600 baz puan, dokuz ekonomist 500 baz puan, bir ekonomist 400 baz puan ve iki ekonomist ise 250 baz puan art\u0131\u015f bekliyor. Anketteki ortalama beklenti ise, faizin y\u00fczde 30\u2019a y\u00fckseltilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

500 BAZ PUAN ARTI\u015eI \u00d6NG\u00d6R\u00dcLD\u00dc<\/strong><\/p>\n

AA Finans\u2019\u0131n, 21 Eyl\u00fcl Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek TCMB\u2019nin Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklenti anketi, 19 ekonomistin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Ekonomistlerin politika faizindeki de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe ili\u015fkin beklentilerinin medyan\u0131 500 baz puan art\u0131r\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, 250 ila 600 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131r\u0131m \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ekonomistlerin politika faizi beklentileri y\u00fczde 27,50 ile y\u00fczde 31,00, y\u0131l sonu politika faizi beklentileri ise y\u00fczde 35 ile 45 aras\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

EN Y\u00dcKSEK TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130N\u0130 A\u00c7IKLANDI<\/strong><\/p>\n

Foreks Haber anketine kat\u0131lan 24 ekonomistin tamam\u0131 faizin art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. En y\u00fcksek tahmin y\u00fczde 31,00 olurken, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tahmin y\u00fczde 27,50 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Anketteki medyan beklenti ise bu hafta faizin 500 baz puan art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu.<\/p>\n

Ankette, 2023 y\u0131l sonuna ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f veren 22 ekonomistin medyan faiz tahmini y\u00fczde 35,00 oldu. Y\u0131l sonu faiz tahminlerinde maksimum beklenti y\u00fczde 45,00, minimum beklenti ise y\u00fczde 30,00 oldu. Ge\u00e7en ayki ankette medyan tahmin y\u00fczde 25,00 seviyesinde olu\u015fmu\u015f, tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 30,00 ila y\u00fczde 20,00 band\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

BLOOMBERG ANKET\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD merkezli finans ajans\u0131 Bloomberg\u2019in anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistlerin bu haftaki faiz karar\u0131na dair ortalama beklentisi, 500 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu.<\/p>\n

BARCLAYS TAHM\u0130N\u0130<\/strong>
\n\u0130ngiliz banka Barclays, piyasadaki genel beklentilerin aksine bu hafta TCMB\u2019den 250 baz puanl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Barclays analistleri, \u00e7ok daha keskin bir hamleyi ihtimal d\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6rmese de, a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen beklenti \u00fczeri faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u201ckademeli art\u0131\u015flar\u201d beklediklerini s\u00f6ylediler.<\/p>\n

JPMORGAN TAHM\u0130N\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD’li yat\u0131r\u0131m bankas\u0131 JPMorgan, TCMB\u2019nin eyl\u00fcl ve ekimdeki para politikas\u0131 kurulu toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda TCMB\u2019den 500’er baz puan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 bekledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n

STANDARD CHARTERED TAHM\u0130N\u0130<\/strong>
\nTCMB\u2019nin k\u0131sa vadede h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen enflasyona ve artan d\u0131\u015f dengesizliklere odaklanmaya devam edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren \u0130ngiliz banka Standard Chartered, TCMB\u2019nin 21 Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini 500 baz puan art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini bildirdi.<\/p>\n

HSBC TAHM\u0130N\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

HSBC, T\u00fcrkiye’de politika faizi i\u00e7in y\u0131l sonu tahminini y\u00fczde 30’dan y\u00fczde 32,5 seviyesine y\u00fckseltti. Banka 2023 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini ise y\u00fczde 4,4 seviyesinde tuttu.<\/p>\n

TCMB BEKLENT\u0130 ANKET\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

TCMB\u2019nin piyasa anketinde kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131\u2019nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,34 iken, eyl\u00fcl anketinde y\u00fczde 29,26 oldu.<\/p>\n

TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,19 iken eyl\u00fcl anketinde y\u00fczde 30,0 oldu.<\/p>\n

YABANCI EKONOM\u0130STLERDEN TAHM\u0130N<\/strong><\/p>\n

Societe Generale Ba\u015f Orta-Do\u011fu Avrupa, Orta Do\u011fu, Afrika (CEEMEA) Stratejisti Marek Drimal, AA muhabirine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede, piyasan\u0131n y\u00fczde 30 olan beklentisine k\u0131yasla politika faizinin 600 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 31’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131labilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu.<\/p>\n

Bluebay Varl\u0131k Y\u00f6netimi Geli\u015fen Piyasalar K\u0131demli Stratejisti Timothy Ash de TCMB’nin politika faizinde ise 500 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131r\u0131ma gidece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) – T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) Toplant\u0131s\u0131’nda eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 saat 14.00’de a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. Banka bir \u00f6nceki toplant\u0131da politika faizini 750 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczde 25 d\u00fczeyine y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. Piyasa faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda karar metninde enflasyon geli\u015fmeleri ve para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin mesajlar\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan takip edecek. FA\u0130Z BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 NE […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":28707,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"Cumhuriyet","source_url":"https:\/\/www.cumhuriyet.com.tr\/ekonomi\/merkez-bankasinin-faiz-karari-ne-olacak-iste-ekonomistleri-tahminleri-2121655?utm_medium=KategoriSayfasi&utm_source=KategoriSayfasi","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"2","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[7546,1003,6475,78,1422],"class_list":["post-28703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-aciklayacak","tag-faiz","tag-karari","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28703","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28703"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28703\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28707"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}