{"id":19740,"date":"2023-08-09T13:43:29","date_gmt":"2023-08-09T10:43:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=19740"},"modified":"2023-08-09T13:43:29","modified_gmt":"2023-08-09T10:43:29","slug":"afad-ve-ibb-verilerine-gore-istanbulun-deprem-riski-en-yuksek-ilceleri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/afad-ve-ibb-verilerine-gore-istanbulun-deprem-riski-en-yuksek-ilceleri\/","title":{"rendered":"AFAD ve \u0130BB verilerine g\u00f6re \u0130stanbul’un deprem riski en y\u00fcksek il\u00e7eleri"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 <\/strong>Yer bilimci Prof. Dr. Celal \u015eeng\u00f6r\u2019\u00fcn Marmara\u2019da olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanmas\u0131 muhtemel felakete dikkati \u00e7ekerek, \u201c\u0130stanbul\u2019dan gitmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00e7e\u015fitli kurum ve kurulu\u015flar\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminler bir kez daha g\u00fcndeme geldi. Afet ve Acil Durum Y\u00f6netimi Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (AFAD) ve \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi\u2019nin (\u0130BB) haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporlarda riskli il\u00e7eler ve mahalleler tek tek s\u0131ralan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Milliyet\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 AFAD\u2019\u0131n raporuna g\u00f6re; \u201cDeprem \u0130stanbul\u2019un t\u00fcm il\u00e7eleri i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek risk olu\u015fturmakla birlikte; \u00f6zellikle Adalar, Avc\u0131lar, Bah\u00e7elievler, Bak\u0131rk\u00f6y, Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc, B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, Maltepe, Tuzla, \u00dcsk\u00fcdar, Zeytinburnu ve Sultanbeyli il\u00e7eleri ve yak\u0131n mahalleler olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck depremden yo\u011fun olarak etkilenecek.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u0130BB\u2019ye g\u00f6re ise en riskli il\u00e7eler Avc\u0131lar, Fatih, Zeytinburnu, Esenler, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, Tuzla ve Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc. Olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir depremde Zeytinburnu\u2019nda 5 bin 334, Avc\u0131lar\u2019da 7 bin 39, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece\u2019de 12 bin 244 yap\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r hasar alaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130L\u00c7E \u0130L\u00c7E SIRALAMA<\/strong><\/p>\n

Afet ve Acil Durum Y\u00f6netimi Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (AFAD) \u0130stanbul \u0130l Afet Risk Azaltma Plan\u0131\u2019na (\u0130RAP) g\u00f6re olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir depremde \u0130stanbul\u2019u bekleyen tehlikeler \u015f\u00f6yle s\u0131raland\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u2013 Deprem \u0130stanbul\u2019un t\u00fcm il\u00e7eleri i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek risk olu\u015fturmakla birlikte; \u00f6zellikle Adalar, Avc\u0131lar, Bah\u00e7elievler, Bak\u0131rk\u00f6y, Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc, B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, Maltepe, Tuzla, \u00dcsk\u00fcdar, Zeytinburnu ve Sultanbeyli il\u00e7eleri ve yak\u0131n mahalleler olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck depremden yo\u011fun olarak etkilenecek. Bu durumun ana sebepleri olarak; belirtilen il\u00e7elerin faya yak\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131, yap\u0131 sto\u011fu ta\u015f\u0131y\u0131c\u0131 sistem \u00f6zelliklerinin yetersizli\u011fi, zemin ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131v\u0131la\u015fmaya m\u00fcsait olmas\u0131 gibi sebepler say\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc ve Ata\u015fehir:<\/strong> N\u00fcfus yo\u011funlu\u011funun ve y\u00fcksek katl\u0131 yeni binalar\u0131n fazla oldu\u011fu il\u00e7eler. \u00d6zel okullar da bu b\u00f6lgede yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015f. B\u00fcy\u00fck\u00e7ekmece ve Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc il\u00e7elerinin heyelan b\u00f6lgesinde bulunmalar\u0131 sebebiyle \u00e7\u00f6kmeler ger\u00e7ekle\u015febiliyor.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Esenyurt:<\/strong> Y\u00fcksek ve yo\u011fun yap\u0131la\u015fma, artan n\u00fcfus ve g\u00f6\u00e7men yo\u011funlu\u011fu ile depremden etkilenme riski y\u00fckselen bir il\u00e7e.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Silivri ve Tuzla:<\/strong> Aktif fay hatt\u0131na yak\u0131n olmalar\u0131, al\u00fcviyon kal\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fazla olmas\u0131 ve zemin ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131v\u0131la\u015fmaya m\u00fcsait olmas\u0131 gibi sebepler ile depremden yo\u011fun \u015fekilde etkilenebilecek il\u00e7eler.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Bak\u0131rk\u00f6y, Avc\u0131lar ve Zeytinburnu:<\/strong> Bu il\u00e7elerin tamam\u0131n\u0131n etkilenece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6zel, devlet ve \u015fehir hastanelerinin, okullar\u0131n bu il\u00e7elerde yo\u011fun olmas\u0131, yap\u0131 sto\u011funun eskili\u011fi, olas\u0131 etkiyi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Adalar:<\/strong> Fay hatt\u0131na yak\u0131nl\u0131k ve yap\u0131 sto\u011funun eski olmas\u0131 nedeniyle y\u00fcksek risk ta\u015f\u0131makla birlikte, n\u00fcfus ve yo\u011funlu\u011funun azl\u0131\u011f\u0131, deniz ula\u015f\u0131m imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131, trafik problemi olmamas\u0131 il\u00e7eye ait di\u011fer \u00f6zellikler olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Ba\u011fc\u0131lar, Bah\u00e7elievler, Esenler, Gaziosmanpa\u015fa, Kad\u0131k\u00f6y, Ka\u011f\u0131thane, Kartal, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, Maltepe, Pendik, \u00dcmraniye ve \u00dcsk\u00fcdar:<\/strong> Kalabal\u0131k ve yo\u011fun n\u00fcfuslu il\u00e7eler olmalar\u0131 ve kapanmas\u0131 muhtemel yollar nedeniyle m\u00fcdahale s\u00fcrecinde di\u011fer il\u00e7elere g\u00f6re fazlaca zorluk ya\u015fanabilecek il\u00e7eler olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

R\u0130SK PUANI ARTAN \u0130L\u00c7ELER<\/strong><\/p>\n

Raporda ayr\u0131ca \u015fu ifadelere yer verildi:<\/p>\n

\u201c\u0130stanbul kapsam\u0131ndaki bir\u00e7ok il\u00e7ede kurumlar \u00f6zelinde ortalama risk puan\u0131 y\u00fcksektir. G\u00fcney k\u0131y\u0131 \u015feridindeki il\u00e7elerin (Avc\u0131lar, Bak\u0131rk\u00f6y, Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, Maltepe, Silivri, Tuzla ve Zeytinburnu) \u00f6zellikle aktif fay hatlar\u0131na yak\u0131n olmas\u0131 sebebi ile artan deprem tehlikesinin zarar verebilirli\u011finden \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc risk puanlar\u0131 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Aktif fay hatlar\u0131na g\u00fcney k\u0131y\u0131 \u015feridine g\u00f6re daha uzak olan il\u00e7elerde ise risk puan\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131nda bina sto\u011funu olu\u015fturan yap\u0131lar\u0131n modern deprem y\u00f6netmeliklerinin gerektirdi\u011fi ko\u015fullar\u0131 sa\u011flamamalar\u0131 etkili olmu\u015ftur. Adalar ve Avrupa yakas\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7 k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n bina hasarlar\u0131n\u0131n en yo\u011fun ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgeler olmas\u0131 beklenmektedir.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u0130BB\u2019DEN 7,5\u2019L\u0130K DEPREM SENARYOSU<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130BB\u2019nin 3 y\u0131l \u00f6nce 39 il\u00e7e i\u00e7in ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201c\u0130l\u00e7e Olas\u0131 Deprem Kay\u0131p Tahmini Kitap\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131\u201dna g\u00f6re ise y\u00fcksek riskli il\u00e7eler Avc\u0131lar, Fatih, Zeytinburnu, Esenler, K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u00e7ekmece, Tuzla ve Beylikd\u00fcz\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Gece ya\u015fanacak 7,5 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki deprem senaryosuna g\u00f6re g\u00f6re Avc\u0131lar\u2019da bulanan 26 bin 762 binan\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 27\u2019sin\u0131n orta ve \u00fcst\u00fc seviyede hasar g\u00f6rece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor. Ortalama 465 civar\u0131nda can kayb\u0131 meydana gelebilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re Zeytinburnu\u2019nda bulunan 16 bin binan\u0131n ortalama y\u00fczde 33\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn orta ve \u00fcst\u00fc seviyede hasar g\u00f6rece\u011fi, 668\u2019in \u00fczerinde can kayb\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Sim\u00fclasyona g\u00f6re Fatih genelinde ise bin 484\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde can kayb\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 kaydediliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 Yer bilimci Prof. Dr. Celal \u015eeng\u00f6r\u2019\u00fcn Marmara\u2019da olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem sonras\u0131 ya\u015fanmas\u0131 muhtemel felakete dikkati \u00e7ekerek, \u201c\u0130stanbul\u2019dan gitmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00e7e\u015fitli kurum ve kurulu\u015flar\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminler bir kez daha g\u00fcndeme geldi. Afet ve Acil Durum Y\u00f6netimi Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (AFAD) ve \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediyesi\u2019nin (\u0130BB) haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporlarda riskli il\u00e7eler ve mahalleler […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13424,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"4","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[647,72,511,212,2435,1422],"class_list":["post-19740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-son-haberler","tag-afad","tag-deprem","tag-ibb","tag-istanbul","tag-risk","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19740","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19740"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19740\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19740"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19740"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19740"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}