Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) \u015fubat ay\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli depremin ekonomiye etkilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in politika faizinde indirime gitmesi bekleniyor. TCMB Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 23 \u015eubat\u2019ta saat 14.00\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klayacak.<\/p>\n
TCMB enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi 500 baz puanl\u0131k son faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda tamamlam\u0131\u015f Aral\u0131k ve Ocak aylar\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131larda politika faizini beklentilere paralel y\u00fczde 9 olarak sabit tutmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Reuters anketine kat\u0131lan 17 ekonomistin tahminlerinin medyan\u0131 TCMB\u2019nin bu ay politika faizini 50 baz puan indirerek y\u00fczde 8,50 seviyesine \u00e7ekece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ankete kat\u0131lan sekiz kurum politika faizinin sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dokuz kurum ise yeni indirimlerin ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti.<\/p>\n
Ankete kat\u0131lan kurumlardan yedi tanesi per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc politika faizinde 100 baz puan indirim beklerken birer kurum ise 50 ve 200 baz puanl\u0131k indirim \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Sekiz kurum ise TCMB\u2019nin politika faizini sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ki hafta \u00f6nce meydana gelen Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli depremde arama kurtarma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na Hatay ve Mara\u015f illeri d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda son verilirken, depremde hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybedenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 41 binin \u00fczerinde.<\/p>\n
Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli 7,7 ve 7,6 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki iki deprem, yakla\u015f\u0131k 13,4 milyon ki\u015finin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 10 il daha sonra bunlara eklenen Elaz\u0131\u011f ve Suriye\u2019nin kuzeyinde b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131ma yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n
Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ekonomik ivme kayb\u0131n\u0131 gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fczde 9 politika faizinin yeterli oldu\u011funu belirterek sonland\u0131ran TCMB\u2019nin tahmini maliyeti 50 milyar dolar ile 100 milyar dolar aras\u0131nda tahmin edilen deprem sonucunda verece\u011fi karar izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Barclays bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma notunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de meydana gelen depremin ekonomik ve siyasi etkilerine dikkat \u00e7ekti ve yine de baz senaryo olarak TCMB\u2019nin politika faizini sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledil\u015ferini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Notta, \u201cBaz senaryo olarak 2023\u2019\u00fcn birinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda faizlerde de\u011fi\u015fiklik beklemiyoruz fakat bir \u00f6nceki TCMB a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131ndaki g\u00fcvercin sinyaller ve deprem kaynakl\u0131 beklenen ekonomik yava\u015flama tahminimizdeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri artt\u0131r\u0131yor\u201d ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
JPMorgan ise deprem sonras\u0131 100 baz puan yeni indirim \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Anketteki 2023 y\u0131lsonuna y\u00f6nelik faiz tahmini sorusuna verilen cevaplar\u0131n medyan\u0131 ise TCMB\u2019nin politika faizini y\u00fczde 14,5 seviyesine y\u00fckseltece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Y\u0131lsonu tahminleri, ekonomi politikalar\u0131nda k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fimler getirebilecek se\u00e7im nedeniyle y\u00fczde 6 ila y\u00fczde 45 aras\u0131nda geni\u015f bir bantta yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Muhalefet ekonomide daha al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f politikalar\u0131 benimserken iktidar ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ile cari a\u00e7\u0131k odakl\u0131 al\u0131\u015f\u0131lagelmedik bir politika izliyor. Deprem \u00f6ncesinde piyasalar bu kapsamda se\u00e7ime kadar politikalarda belirgin de\u011fi\u015fim beklemiyordu.<\/p>\n
(Kaynak: Reuters, S\u00f6zc\u00fc)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TCMB) \u015fubat ay\u0131 Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli depremin ekonomiye etkilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in politika faizinde indirime gitmesi bekleniyor. TCMB Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 23 \u015eubat\u2019ta saat 14.00\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. TCMB enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi 500 baz puanl\u0131k son faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda tamamlam\u0131\u015f Aral\u0131k ve Ocak aylar\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131larda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1158,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"3","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[79,82,78,81,80],"class_list":["post-1157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-faiz-indirimi","tag-jpmorgan","tag-merkez-bankasi","tag-para-politikasi-kurulu","tag-reuters-anketi"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1157"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1157\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1158"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}