{"id":11364,"date":"2023-05-29T14:07:26","date_gmt":"2023-05-29T11:07:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=11364"},"modified":"2023-05-29T14:07:26","modified_gmt":"2023-05-29T11:07:26","slug":"daron-acemoglu-ekonomi-daha-da-kotuye-gidecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/daron-acemoglu-ekonomi-daha-da-kotuye-gidecek\/","title":{"rendered":"Daron Acemo\u011flu: Ekonomi daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidecek"},"content":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 <\/strong>Massachusetts Teknoloji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (M\u0130T) \u00f6\u011fretim \u00fcyesi, ekonomist Prof. Dr. Daron Acemo\u011flu, se\u00e7imden sonraki ekonomik tablo i\u00e7in, \u201cMuhtemelen daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidecek ve kesinlikle daha iyi olmayacak\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Acemo\u011flu, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00f6nemine ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n demokrasi ve ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

Acemo\u011flu, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

\u201cNegatif reel faiz, kurumlar\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen yitirmesi ve geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fc y\u00f6netimin artan maliyetleri olacakt\u0131r. Bunlar Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n t\u00fckenen rezervlerinde de g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit, mevcut \u00fc\u00e7 ana sorunun peki\u015fmesi: \u00dcretkenlik art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve verimlilik iyile\u015ftirmelerinin olmamas\u0131; kurumsal ve mali bilan\u00e7olar ile k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen mali durum. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fc de \u00e7ok maliyetli.<\/p>\n

Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeleri ve h\u00fck\u00fcmet harcamalar\u0131 temelli, yeterli yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n veya \u00fcretkenlik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kaliteli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme. Yolsuzluk ve patronaj durumu daha da k\u00f6t\u00fc bir hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u015e\u0130RKET B\u0130LAN\u00c7OLARI K\u00d6T\u00dcLE\u015eT\u0130\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015eirket bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fti ancak ne kadar k\u00f6t\u00fc oldu\u011funu bilmek imkans\u0131z. Bu, b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda Covid ekonomisi ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetin i\u015f\u00e7i \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 engelleyen bask\u0131lar\u0131yla ilgili.<\/p>\n

Bankalar, \u00f6zellikle kamu bankalar\u0131, k\u0131smen kurumsal bilan\u00e7o sorunlar\u0131 nedeniyle, k\u0131smen de bor\u00e7 vermeyi kesmemeleri i\u00e7in bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in muhtemelen \u00e7ok say\u0131da bat\u0131k krediye sahip.<\/p>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmet harcamalar\u0131 artt\u0131 ve kur korumal\u0131 mevduat (liradaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durdurmak i\u00e7in uygulamaya konuldu), gelecekteki gelirleri garanti eden \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00f6zel-kamu programlar\u0131 ile devlet bankalar\u0131n\u0131n bilan\u00e7olar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc garantiler bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u00c7OK FAZLA BEL\u0130RS\u0130ZL\u0130K VAR\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar, depremin neden oldu\u011fu mega y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n mali ve ekonomik maliyetleri ve bunun gerektirdi\u011fi yeniden in\u015fa (art\u0131 halen devam eden m\u00fclteci sorunu) nedeniyle daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n

Mevcut durumda, bunlar\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fc muhtemelen daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidecek ve kesinlikle daha iyi olmayacak. K\u00f6rfez\u2019den ve belki de Rusya\u2019dan gelen turizm gelirler rezervlere bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine destek olabilir fakat \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde \u00e7ok fazla belirsizlik var.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(The Turkish Post) \u2013 Massachusetts Teknoloji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (M\u0130T) \u00f6\u011fretim \u00fcyesi, ekonomist Prof. Dr. Daron Acemo\u011flu, se\u00e7imden sonraki ekonomik tablo i\u00e7in, \u201cMuhtemelen daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidecek ve kesinlikle daha iyi olmayacak\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131. Acemo\u011flu, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00f6nemine ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n demokrasi ve ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti. Acemo\u011flu, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cNegatif reel faiz, kurumlar\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"63","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[63,1],"tags":[3391,593,1422],"class_list":["post-11364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-son-haberler","tag-daron-acemoglu","tag-ekonomi","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11364"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11364\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11365"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}