(The Turkish Post) – D\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2022, pandemi krizinden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, yaralar\u0131 sarma ve toparlanma y\u0131l\u0131 olacakken, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da katk\u0131s\u0131yla, hemen her alanda 2023\u2019e de sarkmas\u0131 beklenen olumsuzluklar birikerek k\u00fcresel resesyon tehlikesi yaratt\u0131. Ipsos\u2019un 29 \u00fclkede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 49\u2019u ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fclkenin ekonomisinin resesyonda oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ankete kat\u0131lan T\u00fcrk vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 74\u2019\u00fc, \u201cYa\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z \u00fclkenin ekonomisinin \u015fu anda resesyonda oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor musunuz\u201d sorusunu, \u201cevet\u201d diye yan\u0131tlad\u0131. Ipsos\u2019un anketine g\u00f6re, vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 74\u2019\u00fc \u00fclke ekonomisinin resesyonda oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, y\u00fczde 9\u2019u bir fikri olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrk vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 17\u2019si ise \u00fclke ekonomisinin resesyonda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. 29 \u00fclkede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ankette, ilk s\u0131rada G\u00fcney Kore yer ald\u0131. Korelilerin y\u00fczde 79,8\u2019i ekonomilerinin resesyonda oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yor. Macarlar ikinci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken T\u00fcrkler, y\u00fczde 74 ile \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada bulunuyor. Hollanda vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 25\u2019i kendi \u00fclkelerinin resesyona oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek son s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye, teknik olarak resesyonda bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu (T\u00dc\u0130K) verilerine g\u00f6re, \u00fclke ekonomisi 2022\u2019de y\u00fczde 5,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u0130lk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 7,3, ikinci \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 7,6, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 3,9, son \u00e7eyrekte ise y\u00fczde 3,5 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 2023\u2019\u00fcn ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131, 31 May\u0131s\u2019ta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Beklenti, b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 3 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Resesyon Nedir?<\/strong><\/p>\n Resesyon, bir \u00fclkenin ekonomik faaliyetlerinde en az alt\u0131 ay s\u00fcreyle gerileme ya\u015fanmas\u0131 nedeniyle reel gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, ekonomik faaliyetlerde duraklamas\u0131, negatif anlamda istikrarl\u0131 bir konjonkt\u00fcr dalgas\u0131nda doru\u011fu izleyen reel ekonomik faaliyet d\u00fczeyinde \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 daralma a\u015famas\u0131d\u0131r. Ekonomideki daralma \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 de\u011fil \u015fiddetli olursa buna depresyon denmektedir.<\/p>\n \u00dcLKE EKONOM\u0130LER\u0130 NEDEN RESESYONA G\u0130RER?<\/strong><\/p>\n Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi,<\/p>\n Ki\u015fiba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen milli gelirin dura\u011fan ve gerileyen haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi,<\/p>\n \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin artmas\u0131,<\/p>\n Ekonomik faaliyetlerin duraklamas\u0131 ve gerilemesi,<\/p>\n \u00dcretim faaliyetlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi, gibi sonu\u00e7la \u00fclkelerin resesyona girmelerindeki en temel sebepleri olu\u015fturur.<\/p>\n Resesyon, makro ekonomide geleneksel olarak reel gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSY\u0130H) iki veya daha fazla \u00e7eyrek y\u0131ll\u0131k periyodda arka arkaya negatif b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesi durumudur. Uzun bir resesyon ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f olarak nitelendirilir.<\/p>\n Durgunlukla m\u00fccadelede kamu harcamalar\u0131 siyaseti, ekonominin tam \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma d\u00fczeyinde balansa kavu\u015fabilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6zel harcamalardaki yetersizliklerin, kamu harcamalar\u0131 ile giderilmesi neticesini do\u011furmaktad\u0131r. Bu t\u00fcr bir politika ile milli gelir d\u00fczeyinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00f6nlenmi\u015f, \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131na mani olunmu\u015f ve ekonomideki daralt\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7ler ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131larak geni\u015fleme s\u00fcrecine sokulmu\u015f olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n Durgunlukla m\u00fccadelede, kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 ayn\u0131 d\u00fczede b\u0131rakarak vergileri azaltma yoluna gidilebilmektedir. Vergileri azaltma politikas\u0131n\u0131n etkinli\u011fi i\u00e7in verginin konusunun geni\u015f olmas\u0131 gerekir ki vergi indirimlerinden daha \u00e7ok ki\u015fi istifade ederek, kullan\u0131labilir gelir artarak ki\u015filerin t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f sa\u011flanabilecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" (The Turkish Post) – D\u00fcnya ekonomisi i\u00e7in 2022, pandemi krizinden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, yaralar\u0131 sarma ve toparlanma y\u0131l\u0131 olacakken, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da katk\u0131s\u0131yla, hemen her alanda 2023\u2019e de sarkmas\u0131 beklenen olumsuzluklar birikerek k\u00fcresel resesyon tehlikesi yaratt\u0131. Ipsos\u2019un 29 \u00fclkede ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi ankete kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 49\u2019u ya\u015fad\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fclkenin ekonomisinin resesyonda oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ankete kat\u0131lan T\u00fcrk vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 74\u2019\u00fc, \u201cYa\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":11314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"Karar","source_url":"https:\/\/www.karar.com\/ekonomi-haberleri\/vatandasin-yuzde-74une-gore-turkiye-resesyonda-1755961","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,1],"tags":[593,3189,1422],"class_list":["post-11312","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-son-haberler","tag-ekonomi","tag-resesyon","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11312","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11312"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11312\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11312"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11312"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11312"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}