{"id":10611,"date":"2023-05-23T13:58:06","date_gmt":"2023-05-23T10:58:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/?p=10611"},"modified":"2023-05-23T13:58:06","modified_gmt":"2023-05-23T10:58:06","slug":"iyi-partili-aydemir-22-bin-sandigin-supheli-oldugunu-tespit-ettik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/iyi-partili-aydemir-22-bin-sandigin-supheli-oldugunu-tespit-ettik\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130Y\u0130 Partili Aydemir: 22 bin sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u015f\u00fcpheli oldu\u011funu tespit ettik"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(The Turkish Post) \u2013 <\/strong>\u0130Y\u0130 Parti Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Meral Ak\u015fener\u2019in dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yapan eski T\u00dc\u0130K ba\u015fkan\u0131 Birol Aydemir, 14 May\u0131s\u2019taki se\u00e7imde on binlerce sand\u0131k verisini \u2018\u015f\u00fcpheli\u2019 oldu\u011funu ortaya \u00e7\u0131karan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Aydemir, yakla\u015f\u0131k 22 bin sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u015f\u00fcpheli oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Ger\u00e7ek G\u00fcndem\u2019e konu\u015fan Aydemir, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda hata ve usuls\u00fczl\u00fcklerin, sand\u0131\u011fa gidildi\u011fi andan, oylar\u0131n Y\u00fcksek se\u00e7im Kurulu (YSK) sistemine girilmesine kadar ki s\u00fcre\u00e7te ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini anlatt\u0131:<\/p>\n<p>\u2018\u2018Asl\u0131nda bu se\u00e7im i\u00e7in de\u011fil, daha \u00f6nceki 2017 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki referandum ve 2018 se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in de benzer analizleri yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131k. Orada da benzer durumlar\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck. Bizim yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fey asl\u0131nda olabilecek olas\u0131 hata ve usuls\u00fczl\u00fcklerin en son a\u015famas\u0131ndaki durumu yans\u0131tmak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018GER\u00c7EK OY KULLANILMIYOR\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bir sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan veriler, o sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n bulundu\u011fu il\u00e7e ya da mahalle d\u00fczeyindeki verilerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015f\u00f6yle durumlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yorsak, \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle bir problem vard\u0131r: Kat\u0131l\u0131m y\u00fcksek, ge\u00e7ersiz oy oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Benim yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi baz\u0131 varsay\u0131mlar, istatistik y\u00f6ntemler kullanarak yap\u0131labilir bu. Oy vermeye gidildi\u011finde \u00f6zellikle m\u00fc\u015fahitlerin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 veya hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6relerde ger\u00e7ek oy kullan\u0131lm\u0131yor.\u2019\u2019<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018GENELL\u0130KLE KIRSAL Y\u00d6REDE VE G\u00dcNEYDO\u011eU\u2019DA OLUYOR\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Aydemir, bu t\u00fcr \u015f\u00fcpheli oylar\u0131n toplam ge\u00e7erli oylar i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131n\u0131n en \u00e7ok \u015eanl\u0131urfa, Malatya, Erzincan, Siirt, Tokat, Kahramanmara\u015f, Ad\u0131yaman ve Hatay gibi k\u0131rsal b\u00f6lgelerde oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131: \u2018\u2018Genellikle muhtarlar veya ba\u015fka birileri gidiyor ve oradaki b\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7menlerin ad\u0131na m\u00fchr\u00fc bas\u0131yor. Bizim \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada da g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi genellikle iktidar partisine veya \u015fu andaki cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na giden oylar oluyor bunlar. Orada muhtar veya ba\u015fka birisi oturuyor. B\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7menlerin ad\u0131na m\u00fchr\u00fc bas\u0131yor. E bunu nereden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yoruz?<\/p>\n<p>Bu oylar genellikle k\u0131rsal y\u00f6rede ve g\u00fcneydo\u011fuda daha \u00e7ok oluyor. Ve asl\u0131nda e\u011fitim seviyesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu y\u00f6reler buralar. Kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131 neredeyse y\u00fczde y\u00fcze yak\u0131n. Ge\u00e7ersiz oy oran\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r veya s\u0131f\u0131ra \u00e7ok yak\u0131n. Bir-iki oy ya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ya da \u00e7\u0131km\u0131yor. Oylar ya iktidar partisine ya MHP\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bunun olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedir? Toplumsal olarak, sosyolojik olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda b\u00f6lgenin \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131, o insanlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fczde bu m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u0130mkans\u0131z bir \u015fey. Hatta \u00f6yle sand\u0131klar var ki insan \u015funu soruyor: Y\u00fczde y\u00fcz AK Parti veya MHP \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ya o sand\u0131kta hi\u00e7 mi ba\u015fka bir partinin g\u00f6revlisi yok?\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u2018\u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 A\u015eAMA \u0130SE\u2026\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cA\u00e7\u0131klanan usuls\u00fczl\u00fck tespit y\u00f6ntemine g\u00f6re 10 bin 785 sand\u0131kta MHP\u2019nin oy oran\u0131, ildeki ortalama oy oran\u0131n\u0131n 10 puan ya da daha fazla \u00fczerinde. Bu san\u0131klar\u0131n y\u00fczde 5,6\u2019s\u0131, bu sand\u0131klardaki toplam se\u00e7menin y\u00fczde 4,18\u2019i. Yaln\u0131zca bu sand\u0131klardaki \u015f\u00fcpheli oylar sonucu MHP\u2019nin oyunun 0,66 puan y\u00fckseldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>CHP\u2019den, YSP\u2019den veya di\u011fer muhalif partilerden, \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019den kimse yok? Hi\u00e7 mi oy kullan\u0131lmad\u0131 burada? Y\u00fczde y\u00fcz tek bir ki\u015fiye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor veya tek bir partiye.<\/p>\n<p>E bu tabii olmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmayan bir \u015fey. Yani bu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a orada bir usuls\u00fczl\u00fck oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bunu bence tart\u0131\u015fmaya bile gerek yok. \u00c7ok a\u00e7\u0131k ve net. \u0130kinci a\u015fama ise b\u00f6yle bir hata ve olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu yerlerde o sand\u0131ktan \u00e7\u0131kan oylar\u0131n tutanaklara ge\u00e7iriliyorken olmas\u0131. Buna da \u00e7ok rastlad\u0131k. \u00d6zellikle de bat\u0131 b\u00f6lgesinde, \u0130stanbul\u2019da rastl\u0131yorsunuz.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(The Turkish Post) \u2013 \u0130Y\u0130 Parti Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Meral Ak\u015fener\u2019in dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yapan eski T\u00dc\u0130K ba\u015fkan\u0131 Birol Aydemir, 14 May\u0131s\u2019taki se\u00e7imde on binlerce sand\u0131k verisini \u2018\u015f\u00fcpheli\u2019 oldu\u011funu ortaya \u00e7\u0131karan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Aydemir, yakla\u015f\u0131k 22 bin sand\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u015f\u00fcpheli oldu\u011funu ifade etti. Ger\u00e7ek G\u00fcndem\u2019e konu\u015fan Aydemir, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda hata ve usuls\u00fczl\u00fcklerin, sand\u0131\u011fa gidildi\u011fi andan, oylar\u0131n Y\u00fcksek se\u00e7im [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":10612,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"0","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"4","zoom_button_in_step":"4","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-715","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"4","hide":""},"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_social_meta":{"fb_title":"","fb_description":"","fb_image":"","twitter_title":"","twitter_description":"","twitter_image":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1],"tags":[3082,318,3083,390,1422],"class_list":["post-10611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-son-haberler","tag-birol-aydemir","tag-iyi-parti","tag-sandik-usulsuzlugu","tag-secim","tag-slider-manset"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10611","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10611"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10611\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.turkishpost.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}